Kalshi View Blog

Source-backed explainers, market analysis, and practical contract research on Kalshi.

Market tickers and payout math

Trying to decode a contract code or news query? Start with the Kalshi market tickers guide, estimate payout risk, then check execution cost with the Kalshi slippage calculator. For tax questions, use the Kalshi tax hub as orientation and verify current guidance with primary sources.

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2027 Women's World Cup: June 24-July 25 in Brazil

2026-07-30

FIFA confirms the 2027 Women's World Cup runs June 24-July 25 across eight Brazilian host cities. See the calendar and dated Kalshi verification.

2027 NFL Draft Dates: Washington, D.C. and Kalshi Checks

2026-07-29

The NFL calendar lists the 2027 NFL Draft for April 29-May 1 in Washington, D.C. This dated guide separates the event schedule from exact Kalshi rules.

When Is NBA All-Star 2027? Phoenix Weekend, February 19-21

2026-07-28

The NBA has scheduled All-Star Weekend 2027 for February 19-21 in Phoenix. This dated guide separates the official event calendar from any exact Kalshi contract.

2027 Golden Globes: January 10 Timetable and Kalshi Checks

2026-07-27

The Golden Globes are scheduled for January 10, 2027 with nominations December 7, 2026. Use this dated guide to check official dates and exact Kalshi rules.

2027 March Madness: Schedule, Dates and Kalshi Market Checks

2026-07-26

Selection Sunday is March 14, 2027, and the 12-game Opening Round starts March 16. Verify the NCAA schedule separately from any Kalshi contract.

2027 Grammys: Date, Eligibility Calendar and Kalshi Checks

2026-07-25

Official 2027 Grammy dates, from the eligibility window to nominations and the February 7 ceremony, plus a source checklist for Kalshi markets.

99th Oscars 2027: Date, Nominations and Kalshi Checks

2026-07-24

The Academy has announced March 14, 2027 for the 99th Oscars and January 21 for nominations. Use this dated guide to verify the calendar and any exact Kalshi market rules.

2026 NFL Season Start: Kickoff Schedule and Kalshi Checklist

2026-07-22

The NFL has scheduled its 2026 regular-season opener for September 9 in Seattle. Verify the Week 1 schedule and any Kalshi contract before relying on it.

September 2026 FOMC on Kalshi: Dates, Rules & SEP

2026-07-15

A July 19, 2026 source snapshot of the September FOMC calendar, KXFEDDECISION-26SEP, generic contract terms, and checks that still require live rules.

July 2026 FOMC on Kalshi: Rules, Timing & Source Checklist

2026-07-09

The July 28-29, 2026 FOMC meeting and Kalshi's KXFEDDECISION-26JUL event require exact source and timing checks. This page shows no live odds.

Kalshi WebSocket to Webhook Pipeline: Source Checklist

2026-07-08

Kalshi does not document native webhook callback registration for market updates. The documented real-time path is WebSockets, including orderbook_snapshot and orderbook_delta messages you can bridge to your own alerts.

Kalshi API Live Quotes in Excel/Google Sheets: Source Checklist

2026-07-06

Public quote screens can start with Kalshi market data endpoints, but private account or trading calls use signed headers, not a simple bearer token.

Kalshi Backtester in Python: API Data Checklist

2026-07-05

The hard part is not writing the Python loop. A credible Kalshi backtester must route live and historical data, block look-ahead bias, and simulate fills and fees conservatively.

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Markets on Kalshi?

2026-06-25

Kalshi's policy bans war markets. This source-backed fact check separates a direct ceasefire outcome from adjacent contracts that only measure whether a speaker says the word.

2026 Midterm Election Markets on Kalshi: Source Checklist

2026-06-15

A static source checklist for the November 3 federal election, live Kalshi market wording, control definitions, settlement sources, deadlines, and fees.

Kalshi Unemployment Rate Markets: BLS U-3 Rules & Price Math

2026-06-13

A source-backed guide to KXU3 thresholds, the household-survey U-3 rate, equality, release timing, revisions, and complete-order cost.

Kalshi 2026 Recession Market: GDP Rule, Not NBER

2026-06-11

A source-backed guide to KXRECSSNBER-26, its two-negative-quarters rule, BEA source, NBER distinction, deadline fields, revisions, and execution math.

Kalshi Jobs Report Markets: BLS Rules, 8:29 Cutoff & Price Math

2026-06-10

A source-backed guide to Kalshi payroll thresholds, BLS definitions and revisions, release timing, and full-order execution cost.

Kalshi GDP Markets: BEA Rules, 8:29 Cutoff & Price Math

2026-06-09

A source-backed guide to Kalshi GDP thresholds, the BEA Advance Estimate, release timing, GDPNow context, and full-order execution cost.

Kalshi Core PCE Markets: BEA Rules, Cutoff & Price Math

2026-06-08

A source-backed guide to Core PCE contract wording, the BEA release schedule, strict thresholds, full-order execution cost, and Federal Reserve context.

Kalshi CPI Markets: BLS Rules, 8:29 Cutoff & Price Math

2026-06-07

A source-backed guide to monthly CPI and CPI YoY wording, BLS rounding, strict thresholds, full-order execution cost, and release-day settlement timing.

FOMC Day on Kalshi: Checklist & 1:55 PM Cutoff

2026-06-06

A source-backed FOMC-day worksheet for contract identity, outcome mapping, full-order execution cost, the 1:55 PM trading cutoff, and settlement risk.

Kalshi Fed Rate Markets: FOMC Rules, Timing & Price Math

2026-06-05

A source-backed guide to Kalshi FEDDECISION rules, the FOMC decision timeline, FedWatch outcome mapping, full-order VWAP, fees, and settlement edge cases.

Thin Kalshi Markets: Spread, Depth & Stay-Out Checklist

2026-06-03

A worked Kalshi order-book example and checklist for top-of-book spread, full-size VWAP, price impact, recent-trade context, exit depth, and non-fill risk.

Kalshi API Rate Limits & Tiers: Current Token Budgets

2026-05-25

A source-backed reference to Kalshi's current token-based API limits, effective request rates, batch costs, 429 behavior, burst capacity, and resilient-client design.

Kalshi Pro vs Standard Account: What Actually Exists (2026)

2026-05-24

A source-backed map of the distinctions people mean by Kalshi Pro: personal versus entity accounts, API usage tiers, maker/taker fees, and automated workflows.

Kalshi Payout Calculator Guide: Formulas & Examples

2026-05-23

Transparent Kalshi payout, risk, fee-adjusted break-even, expected-value, and exit-value formulas with a worked example and product boundaries.

Kalshi Position Sizing: Risk-Budget Worksheet & Formula

2026-05-21

A non-prescriptive Kalshi position-sizing worksheet for dollar loss budget, contract count, fees, executable price, liquidity, correlation, and probability stress tests.

Kalshi Verification 2026: KYC Documents & Fixes

2026-05-20

A source-backed checklist for Kalshi identity verification, accepted documents, clean photos, international eligibility, data handling, and troubleshooting.

Kalshi Implied Probability, EV and Break-Even

2026-05-19

A contract price maps to nominal implied probability, but a buyer must use the executable ask and include fees. This guide derives payout, break-even and expected value while keeping the uncertain probability estimate separate from the market quote.

How Kalshi Market Settlement Works: Rules & Payouts

2026-05-18

A source-backed guide to Kalshi market rules, close and determination timing, lifecycle states, settlement payouts, official sources, and common delays.

Kalshi Order Types: Quick, Limit, IOC and FOK

2026-05-17

Quick Orders seek immediate execution across available prices. Limit Orders set a price boundary. Event-market API V2 adds GTC, IOC, FOK, expiration, post-only, cancel-on-pause, and reduce-only controls with different partial-fill behavior.

How to Read a Kalshi Order Book: Bid, Ask and Depth

2026-05-16

Start with one contract side: find its best bid and ask, calculate the spread, then walk enough visible price levels to cover the intended quantity. The worked example shows how complementary YES/NO prices and partial fills change the average cost.

How to Find Active Kalshi Markets: Volume and Liquidity

2026-05-14

Start with Trending or rank open markets locally by 24-hour volume, then verify the live spread, depth for the intended quantity, expected fill and recent-trade timestamps.

Kalshi Withdrawals 2026: Timing, Fees & Holds

2026-05-14

A source-backed comparison of Kalshi bank, debit card, crypto, PayPal, and Venmo withdrawal timing, fees, availability, and security holds.

Kalshi 2024 Election Accuracy: Data Audit

2026-05-06

A reproducible audit of eight exact Kalshi contracts at 7:00 a.m. ET on Election Day, with raw historical trades, official outcomes, scoring limits, and downloadable JSON.

5 Most Active Kalshi Markets: July 17 API Snapshot

2026-05-05

A reproducible July 17 snapshot ranks 69,863 open non-MVE markets by reported 24-hour volume, then preserves the top five YES bid, ask, size, spread and limitations.

How to Trade on Kalshi: Beginner Step-by-Step Guide

2026-05-01

Verify eligibility, secure and fund the account, read one market's exact rules, inspect executable prices, calculate maximum loss, place a limit order, then monitor fills and settlement.

Is Kalshi Legit? CFTC Status, Risks and Safety Checks

2026-05-01

KalshiEX is listed by the CFTC as a designated contract market. That verifies regulatory status, but it does not remove trading, liquidity, fee, account, fraud, or eligibility risk.