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The 2026 Nobel Prize announcements run from Monday, October 5 through Monday, October 12. Anyone checking related prediction markets should separate the official announcement schedule from each Kalshi contract’s close time, outcome criteria, and settlement source.
Primary sources checked: the Nobel Foundation’s 2026 announcement-week press release, the official Nobel Prize announcement dates page, and Kalshi’s guidance on market rules. These sources were checked on August 20, 2026.
The two official Nobel Prize pages showed the same dates and times when checked on August 20. Several announcements are listed as occurring “at the earliest” at the stated time, so the live schedule at nobelprize.org controls if anything changes.
The Eastern Time conversions assume US Eastern Daylight Time, which is six hours behind CEST during this announcement week and remains in effect through November 1, 2026. These times describe Nobel announcements only. They should not be treated as Kalshi close, expiration, or settlement times.
A dated snapshot of 10,957 open Kalshi events, collected around 05:55 UTC on August 20, showed 2026 entries associated with four Nobel series. The corresponding series-detail endpoints confirmed catalog metadata such as ticker, title, category, and frequency:
The same snapshot did not show open series for Physiology or Medicine or for Chemistry. That is only a dated catalog observation. It does not establish what Kalshi may list later, and it should not be read as confirmation that any of the four other markets remain available now.
Current availability and prices must come directly from Kalshi. The series endpoints above do not establish an exact contract title, close time, price, volume, liquidity, fee, settlement source, or outcome criterion.
Kalshi’s exchange is CFTC-regulated, settles contracts in US dollars, and requires identity verification. The CFTC’s designated contract market information provides regulatory context, but regulation does not remove trading or settlement risk.
For any Nobel-related listing, traders should open the exact market on Kalshi and check:
Kalshi’s market outcomes guidance explains why the contract’s own terms matter. Nobelprize.org controls the public announcement schedule, but a Kalshi market resolves according to its published rules and specified verification process.
This is a static planning page, not a live odds board. The sensible refresh process is tied to primary sources rather than rumored shortlists or unverified social posts.
The Nobel nomination process is confidential, so this guide does not name favorites, rumored candidates, or supposed shortlists. Readers can monitor the @Kalshi_market channel as a secondary discovery source, but official Nobel pages and exact Kalshi rules should remain the primary checks.
The 2026 Nobel Prize announcements begin with Physiology or Medicine on Monday, October 5 and end with Economic Sciences on Monday, October 12. Physics is October 6, Chemistry October 7, Literature October 8, and Peace October 9. Several times are listed as “at the earliest,” so readers should verify the live official schedule.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee lists the 2026 Peace Prize announcement for Friday, October 9 at 11:00 CEST in Oslo. That converts to 5:00 a.m. ET under the stated assumption that Eastern Daylight Time remains six hours behind CEST during Nobel announcement week.
An August 20, 2026 snapshot showed 2026 entries under Kalshi series for Peace, Literature, Physics, and Economics. It did not show open Medicine or Chemistry series. Availability can change, so traders must check Kalshi directly rather than treating that dated snapshot as confirmation of a currently tradable contract.
No automatic settlement assumption should be made. Each Kalshi market has its own close time, outcome criteria, verification source, and settlement process. The official Nobel announcement may provide relevant event information, but traders should read the exact Kalshi rules to determine what evidence controls and when settlement can occur.
Not financial advice. Prediction-market trading is speculative, and you can lose money. Do your own research.