Independent prediction-market research

Source-backed guides to Kalshi.

Kalshi View publishes independent, source-backed guides to Kalshi markets, liquidity, fees, settlement rules, tools, and the risks that matter when money is on the line.

Use the calculator Market guides Read the blog Join @Kalshi_market

Kalshi guides

Start with what Kalshi is, compare Polymarket VPN risk and the Kalshi US alternative, then use the market ticker guide before digging into rules and settlement.

Payout calculator

Estimate implied probability, cash at risk, break-even price, and payout before sizing a YES or NO contract.

Market reads

Macro, election, sports, crypto, and geopolitics contracts viewed through liquidity and expected value. Start with the ticker and news guide.

Realistic risk

No guaranteed edge, no signal selling, no hype. Prediction markets are speculative and you can lose money.

Original tools and audits

Kalshi payout calculator

Calculate cash at risk, gross payout, break-even price, and fee-adjusted scenarios without sending market or account data anywhere.

Kalshi fee calculator

Estimate the order-ticket fee with the July 7, 2026 taker and listed-series maker formulas, plus the fee type and multiplier of the most traded markets.

Macro contract rules matrix

Compare source agencies, release timing, close rules, and settlement references across recurring macro contract families.

Order-book mechanics guide

A source-backed walkthrough of bids, asks, spread, depth, partial fills, and executable price.

Election-market source audit

A reproducible audit framework that separates observed market evidence from hindsight and unsupported accuracy claims.

Open data, feeds and embeds

Machine-readable article data, event calendar feeds (ICS), JSON feeds, and embeddable calculators and countdown widgets under CC BY, with citation terms in the citation hub.

New here? Start with what Kalshi is, then use the Kalshi markets guide, the Kalshi payout calculator, the fee calculator, the Kalshi tax hub, the platform comparison, and the Kalshi FAQ. For today's prices, see Kalshi odds today; in sportsbook terms, the Kalshi odds converter. Where you can trade: is Kalshi legal in your state? How good the prices are: how accurate Kalshi is. Terms explained: Kalshi glossary. For fast updates, use the Telegram channel.