Photo: Tony Webster. Source (Wikimedia Commons). License: CC BY 2.0. Historical May 31, 2024 photograph, cropped and resized; institutional context, not the future report or a current BEA office photograph.
November 2026 core PCE data is scheduled for release on Wednesday, December 23, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EST, or 13:30 UTC, according to BEA sources checked October 13, 2026. The observed Kalshi contracts had an earlier trading cutoff of 8:25 a.m. EST. Readers should separate those two times before planning around the report.
Source snapshot: October 13, 2026, 05:30-05:34 UTC. This is a dated schedule and rules guide, not a live market page.
Primary sources checked October 13, 2026: the BEA release schedule, its official calendar subscription, the exact Kalshi November event record, and the complete COREPCE contract terms.
The full BEA calendar agrees with the upcoming-release view. These are two views from the same agency, not independent confirmations. The calendar file identifies “Personal Income and Outlays, November 2026” at 13:30 UTC on December 23.
BEA’s core PCE definition explains the measure. Its Personal Income and Outlays release hub is the source named in the contract. This static guide contains no live quotes, forecast, or November result.
The following schedule distinguishes the government publication time from Kalshi-only fields. All times reflect the October 13 snapshot, not a guarantee that the schedule or contract fields will remain unchanged.
| Milestone and source | EST | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Observed contract close (Kalshi) | 8:25 a.m. | 13:25 |
| Scheduled report release (BEA) | 8:30 a.m. | 13:30 |
| Observed expected expiration (Kalshi) | 10:00 a.m. | 15:00 |
The observed trading cutoff was five minutes before publication. Expected expiration is a separate contract milestone, not a promise that funds will be credited at 10:00 a.m. The records also allowed early closure. Their latest-expiration field was December 30 at 10:00 a.m. EST, not another BEA release date or a guaranteed payment time.
The terms describe expiration as the sooner of the first 10:00 a.m. Eastern time after data for all of November are released or one week after the scheduled release. Settlement is specified no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review. Source and specification contingencies also apply.
BEA also schedules third-quarter GDP, industry, corporate-profit, state GDP, and state personal-income material at 8:30 a.m. that day. Those simultaneous headlines are separate from the monthly PCE report.
The November 2026 core PCE report appears within Personal Income and Outlays. Core PCE excludes food and energy and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve. The observed Kalshi contracts concern the single-decimal month-over-month percentage change, not annual inflation.
The verified contract KXPCECORE-26NOV-T0.2 resolves to Yes if that November monthly change is above 0.2%. As a hypothetical illustration, 0.2% is not above 0.2%; 0.3% is above it. Neither number is a forecast or reported outcome.
At the snapshot, five markets were active, with thresholds above 0.0%, 0.1%, 0.2%, 0.3%, and 0.4%. They were overlapping threshold questions, not five mutually exclusive buckets. Their presence says nothing about liquidity or future availability.
After publication, open the full release and tables, locate November, and check the correct monthly core measure. Earlier year-over-year values on the definition page are not November results. The terms exclude revisions made after expiration, which is narrower than saying the first print always controls. Table-navigation instructions are convenience guidance, not binding terms.
For adjacent releases, see the October PCE report scheduled for November 25 and the November CPI report scheduled for December 10. Neither is this report. The core PCE mechanics guide covers broader concepts.
BEA schedules the report for Wednesday, December 23, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. EST, equivalent to 13:30 UTC. That timing was confirmed in the agency’s calendar sources checked October 13, 2026. Recheck the official schedule before release day because future publication dates can change.
The observed contracts concern November 2026 data published in December. Their underlying measure is the single-decimal month-over-month percentage change in the PCE price index excluding food and energy. Headline PCE, year-over-year core inflation, and the separate November CPI release are not interchangeable with that measure.
In the October 13 snapshot, all five observed November contracts had a December 23 closing time of 8:25 a.m. EST, five minutes before BEA’s scheduled publication. That is an observed contract field, not a permanent availability promise. Verify the active contract’s closing time directly on Kalshi.
No. The observed expected expiration was December 23 at 10:00 a.m. EST, but expiration and account-credit timing are different. The terms specify settlement no later than the day after expiration unless the outcome is under review. Traders should read the complete terms for applicable contingencies.
Not financial advice. Prediction-market trading is speculative, and you can lose money. Do your own research.
