Kalshi payout calculator
Estimate position cost, maximum cash payout, profit if correct, maximum loss, fee-adjusted break-even probability, and expected value from your own probability.
Calculate payout and riskPlan a Kalshi event-contract order with two browser-based tools: one for payout, risk, break-even probability, and expected value; another for order-book depth, average fill, slippage, and all-in entry cost.
Estimate position cost, maximum cash payout, profit if correct, maximum loss, fee-adjusted break-even probability, and expected value from your own probability.
Calculate payout and riskEnter visible order-book levels to estimate weighted average fill, price slippage, slippage dollars, unfilled quantity, and whether the effective entry still leaves an edge.
Calculate slippageWork out the taker or maker fee for any order from the July 7, 2026 formulas, see fees at common prices, and check which of today's most traded markets charge maker fees.
Calculate the feeSee what a contract returns if you hold it to resolution: profit, return after the taker fee, simple and compounded annual rate, and today's 85-99 cent favorites.
Calculate the returnTurn a "before October 31 / before December 31" ladder into the chance for each period and the monthly chance it implies, and spot a ladder that contradicts itself.
Read a ladderSell now or hedge with the other side's market: profit after the taker fees for each choice, the equal and break-even hedge sizes, and what a draw would cost.
Compare sell and hedgeKalshi's odds for the next FOMC decision next to what a fed funds futures price implies: the rate after the meeting and the chance of a 25 or 50 bps move.
Compare the Fed oddsHow much to stake after the taker fee: full, half and quarter Kelly in dollars and contracts, with a simulation of how often each size halves the bankroll.
Size a betMultiply your legs' prices to get a combo's fair chance, price and American odds, then see how far a combo quote sits from it.
Price a comboStrip the bookmaker's margin from a two-way line to get the fair chances and odds, then check whether a Kalshi price beats the book and the fair line after the taker fee.
Remove the vigTurn a Kalshi price in cents into American, decimal and fractional odds, before and after the taker fee, or work back from sportsbook odds; with this week's most traded games in American odds.
Convert oddsPaste your forecasts and outcomes to get your Brier score, your calibration by 10-point band and a chart, next to how Kalshi's own prices scored a week before close.
Score your forecastsBids, offers, spread and depth explained on a live Kalshi market, with what it costs to buy 100, 1,000 or 10,000 contracts right now.
Read the order bookRead the July 7, 2026 event-contract formulas, official table examples, maker exceptions, funding costs, and the separate warning for perpetual futures.
Check the fee schedule guide| Question | Payout calculator | Slippage calculator |
|---|---|---|
| How much cash is at risk? | Yes | Shows the cost of modeled fills |
| What is the maximum $1 settlement payout? | Yes | No |
| What is fee-adjusted break-even probability? | Yes, using the fee you enter | Shows a fill-price threshold |
| Can the full order fill at the best quote? | No | Yes, when you enter order-book depth |
| What is the weighted average entry price? | Uses one price | Yes |
| Does it fetch live Kalshi data? | No | No |
| Does it place an order? | No | No |
Primary sources checked July 17, 2026: Kalshi Fee Schedule, Kalshi Help Center: The Orderbook, and Kalshi Help Center: Limit Orders. The sources explain the current fee framework and order mechanics; the calculators perform only the arithmetic from values you provide.
A static calculator cannot know whether your probability estimate is sound, whether a market will remain liquid, whether a queue position will fill, or whether the rules match your intended event interpretation. It also cannot guarantee the current fee for every series. The live order ticket, order book, contract rules, and designated settlement source remain authoritative for a specific order.
Use the payout calculator for position cost, maximum payout, profit if correct, break-even probability, and expected value. Use the slippage calculator when an order can fill at multiple prices and you need an effective entry cost.
No. You enter the price, contract count, fee, and order-book levels yourself. The tools do not connect to an account, fetch a private portfolio, or submit an order.
Read the fee shown on the current order ticket and enter it in the payout calculator. Static articles cannot know every current series multiplier, maker rule, or future schedule change.
No. A calculator can make assumptions and arithmetic visible, but it cannot validate your probability estimate, interpret the contract rules, or guarantee a fill or outcome.
Kalshi guide and risk overview · Markets research hub · Ticker and source guide · Resting orders explained · Payout math guide
The same calculators run as standalone embeds for your site or docs: browse the widget gallery or embed the payout calculator, slippage calculator, and odds converter directly. Event dates are available as ICS calendar feeds, article data as an open API, and reuse terms in the citation hub.
Educational estimates only. The tools do not pull live Kalshi prices, access an account, submit orders, or write to external services. Kalshi View is independent and not affiliated with Kalshi Inc. Trading involves risk, and you can lose money.