Kalshi odds today › Senate
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 333 open events · refreshed twice a day
Markets on US Senate control, seat counts and Senate races.
Every 2026 race on one page, closest first: 2026 midterms on Kalshi.
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 333 open Senate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Texas Senate winner? (James Talarico 68%), Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (Democratic Party 64%), Nebraska Senate winner? (Pete Ricketts 72%).
| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Senate winner? | James Talarico 68% | 514.0K | November 3, 2027 |
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate? | Democratic Party 64% | 287.5K | February 1, 2027 |
| Nebraska Senate winner? | Pete Ricketts 72% | 190.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Michigan Senate winner? | Abdul El-Sayed 72% | 137.6K | November 3, 2027 |
| Kansas Senate winner? | Roger Marshall 64% | 137.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| New Hampshire Senate winner? | Chris Pappas 90% | 125.9K | November 3, 2027 |
| Maine Senate winner? | Troy Jackson 57% | 85.7K | November 3, 2027 |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? | Above 52 36% | 85.1K | February 1, 2027 |
| Florida Senate winner? | Ashley Moody 91% | 55.8K | November 3, 2027 |
| North Carolina Senate winner? | Roy Cooper 97% | 52.8K | November 3, 2027 |
| Michigan Senate winner? (Person) | Abdul El-Sayed 74% | 50.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Iowa Senate winner? | Ashley Hinson 55% | 48.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| Maine-Texas Senate Combo | James Talarico and Troy Jackson 50% | 45.7K | November 3, 2027 |
| South Carolina Senate winner? | Darline Graham 86% | 42.1K | November 3, 2027 |
| Closest Senate race in 2026? | Iowa 18% | 41.9K | January 3, 2027 |
| Tennessee Senate winner? | Bill Hagerty 95% | 39.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Ohio Senate winner? | Sherrod Brown 62% | 34.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| Alaska Senate winner? | Democratic party 76% | 32.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) | At least 1 2.5% | 29.0K | October 11, 2026 |
| Minnesota Senate winner? | Peggy Flanagan 86% | 28.9K | November 3, 2027 |
| Maine Senate winner? (Person) | Troy Jackson 56% | 26.7K | July 7, 2027 |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? | 48 18% | 26.4K | February 1, 2027 |
| Texas Senate margin of victory | James Talarico, 1+ pts 60% | 19.5K | November 3, 2027 |
| Mississippi Senate winner? | Cindy Hyde-Smith 91% | 15.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Georgia Senate winner? | Jon Ossoff 96% | 14.0K | November 3, 2027 |
| Alaska Senate winner? (Person) | Mary Peltola 76% | 13.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| Georgia Senate margin of victory | Ossoff, 2+ pts 93% | 11.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Texas Senate: Exact outcome | Talarico defeats Paxton 66% | 10.9K | January 3, 2028 |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) | Below 53 64% | 9.3K | February 1, 2027 |
| Texas Senate margin of victory | Ken Paxton, 1+ pts 29% | 7.9K | November 3, 2027 |
| Arkansas Senate winner? | Tom Cotton 94% | 7.0K | November 3, 2027 |
| Tossup Senate Race Combo: which states will Democrats win? | Democratic sweep 34% | 6.8K | November 3, 2027 |
| Idaho Senate winner? | Jim Risch 92% | 6.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| Kansas Senate margin of victory | Marshall, 1+ pts 60% | 5.7K | November 3, 2027 |
| Ohio Governor-Senate combo | Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win 57% | 5.3K | November 3, 2027 |
| New Hampshire Senate margin of victory | Pappas, 2+ pts 83% | 4.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Iowa Governor-Senate combo | Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win 46% | 3.7K | November 3, 2027 |
| Ohio Senate margin of victory | Brown, 2+ pts 56% | 3.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Texas Governor-Senate combo | Greg Abbott and James Talarico win 46% | 3.1K | November 3, 2027 |
| Ohio Senate margin of victory | Husted, 2+ pts 26% | 2.9K | November 3, 2027 |
| Manchin Senate combo: Rogers & Collins | Both lose 52% | 2.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Michigan Senate margin of victory | Sayed, 1+ pts 70% | 2.4K | November 3, 2027 |
| Minnesota Senate margin of victory | Flanagan, 1+ pts 84% | 2.1K | November 3, 2027 |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? | At least 14 90% | 2.1K | January 3, 2027 |
| Louisiana Senate winner? | Julia Letlow 95% | 2.1K | November 3, 2027 |
| Minnesota Governor-Senate combo | Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win 88% | 1.7K | November 3, 2027 |
| Florida Senate margin of victory | Moody, 2+ pts 84% | 1.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Maine Senate margin of victory | Collins, 1+ pts 39% | 1.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Maine Senate margin of victory | Jackson, 1+ pts 55% | 1.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Florida Senate election: Ashley Moody vote percent | At least 48% 97% | 1.2K | November 3, 2027 |
For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
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APA
Senate odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicsenate, title = {Senate odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/senate/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 333 open Senate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Texas Senate winner? (James Talarico 68%), Which party will win the U.S. Senate? (Democratic Party 64%), Nebraska Senate winner? (Pete Ricketts 72%).
Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.