What are the Kalshi AI odds today?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 111 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Best AI at the end of 2026? (Claude 71%), Anthropic market share this week (Above 2.3% 98%), Best AI this week (Claude 98%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.

AI Odds on Kalshi Today: 111 Open Markets

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 111 open events · refreshed twice a day

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Best AI at the end of 2026?	Claude 71%	114.7K	December 31, 2026
Anthropic market share this week	Above 2.3% 98%	56.6K	September 28, 2026
Best AI this week	Claude 98%	40.9K	September 28, 2026
Top Coding AI this month (Arena.ai)	Claude 86%	32.1K	September 30, 2026
OpenAI market share this week	Above 14.0% 100%	20.7K	September 28, 2026
Best AI in Sep 2026?	Claude 98%	16.2K	September 30, 2026
Top AI model this week	claude-fable-5.1-max 54%	12.1K	September 28, 2026
When will any company achieve AGI?	Before Jan 1, 2029 84%	7.9K	January 1, 2031
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?	Anthropic 70%	7.7K	December 31, 2026
When will Trump officially rename AI?	Before Nov 1, 2026 38%	7.5K	November 1, 2026
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?	Before Jan 1, 2027 56%	6.9K	January 1, 2027
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?	Before Apr 1, 2027 90%	6.2K	April 1, 2027
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?	OpenAI 21%	3.3K	January 1, 2027
AI capability growth this year?	At least 1520 score 52%	3.1K	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?	Before Jan 1, 2027 85%	2.7K	January 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28th	Alibaba 78%	2.7K	October 5, 2026
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?	Yes 34%	2.6K	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?	Before Nov 13, 2026 70%	2.4K	November 13, 2026
Top Coding AI this month (DeepSWE)	Claude 57%	1.9K	September 30, 2026
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21st	Alibaba 96%	1.4K	September 28, 2026
Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?	Yes 68%	1.3K	February 1, 2027
Top Coding AI this week	ChatGPT 54%	1.1K	September 28, 2026
When will xAI release Grok 5?	Before 2027 44%	1.1K	January 1, 2027
ChatGPT App Downloads in September	Above 101 40%	1.0K	October 8, 2026
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?	Before Nov 1, 2026 12%	963	November 1, 2026
Most popular AI this week	OpenAI 15%	947	September 28, 2026
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?	Before Jan 1, 2027 47%	908	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?	Before Jan 1, 2028 85%	819	January 1, 2028
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?	Before Jun 1, 2027 52%	815	June 1, 2027
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?	Before 2030 66%	777	January 1, 2030
Which AI CEOs will Trump meet this month?	Mark Zuckerberg 95%	764	October 1, 2026
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?	Before Jan 1, 2027 67%	731	January 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company this month	Alibaba 92%	578	September 30, 2026
OpenRouter AI token usage in September	Above 400T tokens 99%	516	September 28, 2026
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?	Yes 7.3%	476	January 1, 2027
Who will Trump name as AI czar?	Scott Bessent 31%	446	January 1, 2027
Top AI model in September?	claude-fable-5.1-max 39%	403	September 30, 2026
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?	Claude 13%	391	January 1, 2027
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?	Before 2028 89%	360	January 1, 2028
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?	$15/MTok or below 17%	295	April 1, 2027
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?	Before Dec 31, 2027 86%	210	December 31, 2027
When will Anthropic release Mythos?	Before Jan 1, 2027 5.5%	191	January 1, 2027
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?	$4/MTok or below 16%	161	April 1, 2027
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?	Yes 9.5%	152	January 1, 2027
Top Open Source AI this week	Xiaomi 96%	124	September 25, 2026
When will Trump name an AI czar?	Before Oct 30, 2026 57%	102	October 30, 2026
Will Xi meet a major US AI CEO this month?	Yes 98%	79	October 1, 2026
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?	Information Technology 88%	66	January 11, 2028
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?	Yes 8.0%	60	January 1, 2027
Will LLM restrictions become law in 2026?	Yes 7.5%	53	January 2, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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