Kalshi odds today › AI

AI odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 109 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on AI companies, AI policy and AI milestones.

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 109 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027 94%), ChatGPT App Downloads in October (Above 50 99%), Best AI at the end of 2026? (Gemini 61%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?Before Apr 1, 2027 94%117.0KApril 1, 2027
ChatGPT App Downloads in OctoberAbove 50 99%110.6KNovember 8, 2026
Best AI at the end of 2026?Gemini 61%77.5KDecember 31, 2026
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?Before Dec 31, 2026 94%31.9KDecember 31, 2026
Best AI this weekGemini 98%20.7KNovember 9, 2026
Best AI this monthGemini 76%18.8KNovember 30, 2026
Anthropic market share this weekAbove 4.9% 100%15.2KNovember 9, 2026
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic 78%9.8KDecember 31, 2026
AI app downloads array index in October 2026Above 300 100%8.6KNovember 8, 2026
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?Goldman Sachs 94%7.3KJanuary 1, 2028
OpenAI market share this weekAbove 16.7% 100%6.4KNovember 9, 2026
AI app downloads array index in November 2026Above 400 95%5.7KDecember 8, 2026
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?Before 2028 64%5.1KJanuary 1, 2028
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?Yes 2.5%4.4KJanuary 1, 2027
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2030 67%4.3KJanuary 1, 2030
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?Meta 12%3.3KJanuary 1, 2027
ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026Above 61.5 96%1.9KDecember 8, 2026
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?Clip-on device for clothing 8.5%1.6KJanuary 1, 2027
When will Anthropic release Mythos?Before Jan 1, 2027 4.0%1.5KJanuary 1, 2027
When will Anthropic release Fable 5.2?Before Jan 1, 2027 96%1.4KJanuary 1, 2027
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?Before Jun 1, 2027 47%1.2KJune 1, 2027
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?Amazon 17%1.0KJanuary 1, 2027
When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2030 80%923January 1, 2031
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?Gemini 36%846January 1, 2027
When will Anthropic release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027 28%769January 1, 2027
Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?Yes 9.0%611January 1, 2027
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?Yes 2.5%602January 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company week of November 2ndXiaomi 95%545November 9, 2026
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Yes 5.0%539January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?Anthropic 94%483January 1, 2040
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?Goldman Sachs 64%405January 1, 2028
AI capability growth this year?At least 1550 score 54%330January 1, 2027
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?$25/MTok or below 25%221April 1, 2027
Top AI model this monthGemini 4 Carbon (High) 74%206November 30, 2026
Will Dario Amodei hold super-voting Anthropic shares at IPO?Yes 12%200January 1, 2028
When will xAI release Grok 5?Before 2027 11%182January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?Before Jan 1, 2027 16%180January 1, 2027
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?Anthropic 90%100December 31, 2026
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?$4/MTok or below 27%90April 1, 2027
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?Before Apr 1, 2027 40%87April 1, 2027
Anthropic share of requests on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)Above 6.0% 75%79November 9, 2026
Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?Yes 8.5%75January 1, 2027
Anthropic share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)Above 30.9% 88%50November 9, 2026
Top Chinese AI company this monthZ.ai 46%44November 30, 2026
Most popular AI this weekYes 100%44November 9, 2026
When will Anthropic release Opus 6?Before Dec 1, 2026 12%38December 1, 2026
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?Yes 51%37January 1, 2028
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2028 64%33January 1, 2028
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 in 2027Yes 32%28January 1, 2028
Moonshot AI share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)Above 4.5% 89%22November 9, 2026

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

AI odds on Kalshi today. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicai, title = {AI odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai/}}

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi AI odds today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 109 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Apr 1, 2027 94%), ChatGPT App Downloads in October (Above 50 99%), Best AI at the end of 2026? (Gemini 61%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.