What are the Kalshi AI odds today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 114 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: OpenAI market share this week (Above 14.1% 98%), Anthropic market share this week (Above 2.1% 98%), Best AI at the end of 2026? (Claude 49%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.

AI Odds on Kalshi Today: 114 Open Markets

Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 114 open events · refreshed twice a day

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
OpenAI market share this week	Above 14.1% 98%	78.5K	October 12, 2026
Anthropic market share this week	Above 2.1% 98%	67.9K	October 12, 2026
Best AI at the end of 2026?	Claude 49%	63.2K	December 31, 2026
Best AI this week	Gemini 86%	36.6K	October 12, 2026
Z.ai market share this week	Above 8.4% 99%	35.1K	October 12, 2026
Top AI model this week?	gemini-4-argon-high 52%	18.1K	October 12, 2026
Best AI in Oct 2026?	Gemini 68%	13.4K	October 31, 2026
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?	Before Apr 1, 2027 90%	7.4K	April 1, 2027
ChatGPT App Downloads in September	Above 93 99%	7.0K	October 8, 2026
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?	Before Nov 13, 2026 15%	6.0K	November 13, 2026
When will any company achieve AGI?	Before Jan 1, 2031 82%	4.1K	January 1, 2031
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?	Yes 7.5%	2.5K	January 1, 2027
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?	OpenAI 16%	1.8K	January 1, 2027
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?	Gemini 14%	1.7K	January 1, 2027
ChatGPT App Downloads in October	Above 35 68%	1.5K	November 8, 2026
When will Anthropic release Mythos?	Before Jan 1, 2027 7.0%	1.3K	January 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI company this month	Alibaba 39%	1.1K	October 31, 2026
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?	Before 2030 65%	962	January 1, 2030
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September	Above 39.3% 92%	916	October 17, 2026
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year?	Yes 5.0%	911	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?	Anthropic 94%	834	January 1, 2040
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?	Anthropic 74%	522	December 31, 2026
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?	Before Jan 1, 2028 68%	460	January 1, 2028
Top Text to Speech AI this week	ElevenLabs 94%	419	October 9, 2026
Anthropic share of spend on Oct 8, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 26.6% 90%	411	October 9, 2026
When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?	Before 2028 70%	383	January 1, 2028
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?	Before Dec 31, 2027 92%	350	December 31, 2027
AI capability growth this year?	At least 1540 score 50%	301	January 1, 2027
Which banks will take Anthropic public?	Mizuho 84%	300	January 1, 2028
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 5th	Xiaomi 85%	237	October 12, 2026
Top Text to Image AI this week	OpenAI 88%	216	October 9, 2026
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?	$4/MTok or below 26%	193	April 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company week of October 12th	Alibaba 69%	182	October 19, 2026
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?	Yes 15%	175	January 1, 2027
Top AI model this month	gemini-4-argon-high 50%	129	October 31, 2026
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?	Yes 35%	110	January 1, 2030
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?	Yes 32%	106	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?	Before Jan 1, 2027 32%	103	January 1, 2027
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?	Goldman Sachs 80%	92	January 1, 2028
When will xAI release Grok 5?	Before 2027 52%	68	January 1, 2027
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?	Below 15% 80%	64	January 26, 2034
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?	Yes 32%	57	January 1, 2027
Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)	Claude 94%	48	October 31, 2026
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?	Morgan Stanley 88%	41	January 1, 2028
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?	Before Jun 1, 2027 54%	35	June 1, 2027
Top Text to Video AI this week	Alibaba 90%	31	October 9, 2026
OpenRouter AI token usage in October	Above 500T tokens 100%	25	October 26, 2026
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)	ChatGPT 67%	19	October 31, 2026
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?	Yes 52%	8	January 1, 2028
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?	Yes 4.0%	5	January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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