Kalshi odds today › France politics

France politics odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 18 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on French elections and French politics.

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open France politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Next French presidential election winner? (Marine Le Pen 48%), 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon 97%), French presidential election: who will advance? (Marine Le Pen 84%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Next French presidential election winner?Marine Le Pen 48%30.6KMay 30, 2028
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?Jean-Luc Mélenchon 97%317June 30, 2027
French presidential election: who will advance?Marine Le Pen 84%110April 17, 2028
Will France declare a state of emergency?Yes 5.0%16January 1, 2027
Will France enact its 2027 budget in 2026?Yes 52%9January 1, 2027
Next French presidential election: 1st place (1st round)Marine Le Pen 83%0April 18, 2028
Next French presidential election: 3rd place (1st round)Jean-Luc Mélenchon 29%0April 18, 2028
Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?Yes 26%0January 1, 2028
Next French presidential election: 2nd place (1st round)Jean-Luc Mélenchon 45%0April 18, 2028
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?Yes 6.3%0January 1, 2027
Will anyone win the next French presidential election in the first round?Yes 6.5%0April 18, 2028
When will France announce a snap election?Yes 4.2%0January 2, 2027
AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percentAt least 50% 97%0November 3, 2027
Will there be a successful vote of no confidence in France in 2026?Yes 28%0January 1, 2027
Will France use Article 49.3 on its 2027 state budget in 2026?Yes 62%0January 1, 2027
Laurent Nuñez announces departure as Interior Minister of France?Yes 12%0December 1, 2026
Sébastien Lecornu announces departure as Prime Minister of France?Before Jul 1, 2027 96%0July 1, 2027
Will France impose capital controls?Before Dec 1, 2027 5.5%0December 31, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Other topics

Fed rate (61) · CPI inflation (57) · Jobs and unemployment (45) · Recession (5) · GDP (42) · 2028 election (5782) · Trump (196) · AI (109) · Bitcoin and crypto (52) · Bitcoin (26) · Ethereum (10) · Solana (11) · Senate (1478) · House (5658) · Governor races (228) · Supreme Court (52) · Government shutdown (4) · Elon Musk (14) · Tesla (18) · SpaceX (16) · OpenAI (33) · AI models (19) · Apple (5) · Nvidia (61) · Ukraine (7) · Russia (15) · Iran (13) · Israel (29) · China (30) · Taiwan (8) · Venezuela (9) · Brazil (34) · UK politics (26) · Germany politics (5) · NFL (207) · NBA (120) · MLB (9) · NHL (59) · Soccer (65) · Tennis (22) · Golf (20) · Formula 1 (21) · Oscars (30) · Grammys (52) · Weather (199) · Hurricanes (50) · Space (30) · TV shows (35) · Music charts (140) · Box office (42) · Celebrities (41) · Japan politics (3)

Cite this data

APA

France politics odds on Kalshi today. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicfrancepolitics, title = {France politics odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/france-politics/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi France politics odds today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open France politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Next French presidential election winner? (Marine Le Pen 48%), 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot? (Jean-Luc Mélenchon 97%), French presidential election: who will advance? (Marine Le Pen 84%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.