Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXAKSENATE-26NOV03
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Mary Peltola at 96%, followed by Dan Sullivan at 3.5%, Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. at 1.0%. 3.5M contracts have traded, 676.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Mary Peltola ■ Dan Sullivan ■ Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Dan Sullivan wins the 2026 Alaska Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Alaska Senate winner? (Person)?
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Mary Peltola at 96%, followed by Dan Sullivan at 3.5%, Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. at 1.0%. 3.5M contracts have traded, 676.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Alaska Senate winner? (Person) market close?
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Alaska Senate winner? (Person): Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alaska-senate-winner-person/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
