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China odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 33 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on China's economy, politics and relations with the US.

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 33 open China events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? (Melania 54%), Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? (Before Jan 1, 2027 56%), When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? (Before Jan 1, 2027 92%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?Melania 54%419.1KOctober 8, 2026
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?Before Jan 1, 2027 56%6.9KJanuary 1, 2027
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?Before Jan 1, 2027 92%4.6KJanuary 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 28thAlibaba 78%2.7KOctober 5, 2026
Top Chinese AI Company week of September 21stAlibaba 96%1.4KSeptember 28, 2026
When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?Before 2030 21%801January 1, 2030
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?Before Jan 1, 2027 67%731January 1, 2027
Top Chinese AI Company this monthAlibaba 92%578September 30, 2026
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?Yes 19%486January 20, 2029
What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?10% or above 96%309January 1, 2027
Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order in Sep 2026?Yes 67%200October 1, 2026
Will Xi leave the U.S. early?Yes 6.0%200September 25, 2026
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Yes 9.5%152January 1, 2027
Will Xi meet a major US AI CEO this month?Yes 98%79October 1, 2026
China unemployment rate in SeptemberAbove 4.9% 99%40October 19, 2026
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?Yes 15%35January 1, 2030
Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. in Sep 2026?Yes 15%20October 1, 2026
Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor?Ding Xuexiang 24%6January 1, 2045
Chinese Super League ChampionChengdu Rongcheng 98%5November 30, 2026
F1 Team from China before 2027Yes 6.5%0January 1, 2027
China Nominal GDP in 2026Above $19.2 trillion 99%0April 1, 2027
China’s government budget balance in 2026Above -9.5% of GDP 96%0April 20, 2027
Will China abolish hukou?Before 2030 13%0January 1, 2030
Will China abolish birth limits?Before 2030 61%0January 1, 2030
US imports of goods from China in 2026Below $300 billion 86%0February 4, 2027
Will China announce additional U.S. agricultural purchases in Sep 2026?Yes 73%0October 1, 2026
Will China obtain an EUV machine?Before Jan 1, 2030 75%0January 1, 2030
Will China unban Bitcoin?Before 2030 22%0January 1, 2030
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?Before Nov 11, 2026 49%0January 1, 2027
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?Gotion High-Tech 25%0July 1, 2027
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?Yes 74%0February 4, 2027
China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026Above 1,400 million barrels 80%0November 10, 2026
Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers this year?Yes 65%0January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

China odds on Kalshi today. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/china/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicchina, title = {China odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/china/}}

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi China odds today?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 33 open China events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? (Melania 54%), Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? (Before Jan 1, 2027 56%), When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? (Before Jan 1, 2027 92%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.