UK Politics Odds on Kalshi Today: 26 Open Markets

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 26 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 26 open UK politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Which party will win the next UK general election? (Labour party 40%), How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? (At least 7 6.0%), Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer? (Before Jan 1, 2028 44%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Which party will win the next UK general election?	Labour party 40%	2.1K	August 31, 2029
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	At least 7 6.0%	732	January 1, 2027
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?	Before Jan 1, 2028 44%	18	January 1, 2028
UK snap election announced?	Before Jan 2, 2028 28%	0	January 2, 2028
British Columbia general election: 3rd place	BC Greens 99%	0	October 24, 2027
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?	Yes 2.5%	0	January 1, 2035
British Columbia general election: 2nd place	BC NDP 98%	0	October 24, 2027
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?	Yes 7.0%	0	January 1, 2027
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?	Lorne Doerkson 66%	0	January 8, 2028
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?	BC Conservatives 98%	0	March 1, 2027
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?	Before Jan 1, 2028 90%	0	January 1, 2028
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?	52 or more 99%	0	October 24, 2027
British Columbia election: NDP number of seats?	32 or more 6.0%	0	October 24, 2027
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?	Inheritance Tax Rise 20%	0	December 1, 2026
Will the UK propose extending the BBC licence fee to online video in 2026?	Yes 74%	0	January 1, 2027
In what year will the next UK general election be held?	2029 57%	0	January 1, 2030
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?	By Jan 1, 2035 16%	0	December 31, 2039
Next government of the United Kingdom?	Labour majority 16%	0	January 1, 2030
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?	Before Aug 1, 2027 75%	0	August 1, 2027
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?	1 52%	0	January 8, 2029
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?	Kemi Badenoch 22%	0	January 8, 2035
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes	ROC recycle removal 52%	0	January 1, 2028
Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?	Yes 20%	0	January 1, 2027
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?	Before Apr 6, 2028 34%	0	April 6, 2028
Who will be the next leader of the New Democratic Party of British Columbia?	Niki Sharma 18%	0	January 8, 2028
Who will lead POLITICO’s UK Poll of Polls on Dec 31, 2026?	Labour Party 85%	0	December 31, 2026

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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