UK Politics Odds on Kalshi Today: 30 Open Markets

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 30 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 30 open UK politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Restore Britain vote percent (At least 1% 50%), Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory? (Labour, ≥5% 86%), Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent (At least 30% 97%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Restore Britain vote percent	At least 1% 50%	5.8K	December 31, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras Labour margin of victory?	Labour, ≥5% 86%	377	October 8, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent	At least 30% 97%	337	December 31, 2027
Who will be British Columbia's Premier after the election?	Lorne Doerkson 53%	328	October 24, 2027
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent	At least 3% 97%	35	December 31, 2027
British Columbia general election: 3rd place	BC Greens 94%	14	October 24, 2027
British Columbia general election winner?	BC Conservatives 55%	13	October 24, 2027
When will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?	Before Jan 1, 2028 90%	6	January 1, 2028
UK Renewables Obligation scheme changes	ROC recycle removal 45%	3	January 1, 2028
Which party will win the next UK general election?	Labour party 36%	3	August 31, 2029
Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?	Before Jan 1, 2028 45%	2	January 1, 2028
When will the UK cut or repeal its digital services tax?	Before Apr 6, 2028 38%	2	April 6, 2028
UK snap election announced?	Before Jan 1, 2028 23%	0	January 1, 2028
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?	Yes 1.5%	0	January 1, 2035
Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?	Yes 12%	0	January 1, 2027
British Columbia general election: 2nd place	BC NDP 50%	0	October 24, 2027
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?	At least 6 98%	0	January 1, 2027
Who will be a part of the next government of British Columbia?	BC NDP 55%	0	March 1, 2027
Who will be the next leader of the Conservative Party of British Columbia?	Lorne Doerkson 31%	0	January 8, 2028
British Columbia election: Conservative number of seats?	17 or more 96%	0	October 24, 2027
British Columbia election: NDP number of seats?	32 or more 92%	0	October 24, 2027
Which wealth taxes will the UK announce before December?	Capital Gains Tax Rise 40%	0	December 1, 2026
Next government of the United Kingdom?	Labour majority 14%	0	January 1, 2030
In what year will the next UK general election be held?	2029 50%	0	January 1, 2030
When will the UK's social media ban take effect?	Before Aug 1, 2027 74%	0	August 1, 2027
How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?	1 51%	0	January 8, 2029
Will the UK lift the football alcohol ban in 2026?	Yes 29%	0	January 1, 2027
Will the United Kingdom join the EU?	By Jan 1, 2040 12%	0	December 31, 2039
Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?	Nigel Farage 20%	0	January 8, 2035
Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget?	Yes 77%	0	October 29, 2026

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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