Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXAKSENGOVCOMBO-26NOV
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 66%, followed by Republicans sweep at 21%, Democratic Governor, Republican Senator at 9.5%. 74.2K contracts have traded, 1.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats sweep | 66% | -1 pts | 18.0K | 8.4K |
| Republicans sweep | 21% | +1 pts | 21.4K | 9.3K |
| Democratic Governor, Republican Senator | 9.5% | -3 pts | 11.6K | 8.2K |
| Republican Governor, Democratic Senator | 6.0% | -1 pts | 23.2K | 10.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Democrats sweep ■ Republicans sweep ■ Democratic Governor, Republican Senator · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Democratic party, Alaska Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: Senate odds on Kalshi · Governor races odds on Kalshi
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Democrats sweep at 66%, followed by Republicans sweep at 21%, Democratic Governor, Republican Senator at 9.5%. 74.2K contracts have traded, 1.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is November 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Alaska Governor-Senate combo: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/alaska-governor-senate-combo/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsalaskagovernorsenatecombo, title = {Alaska Governor-Senate combo: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/alaska-governor-senate-combo/}}HTML credit
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