What are the Kalshi Fed rate odds today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 61 open Fed rate events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Fed decision in Dec 2026? (Hike 25bps 76%), Number of rate cuts in 2026? (Exactly 0 cuts 98%), Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026? (0 cuts 98%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.

Fed Rate Odds on Kalshi Today: Will the Fed Cut or Hike? (61 Markets)

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 61 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Federal Reserve rate decisions, the fed funds rate at year end and Fed leadership.

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Fed decision in Dec 2026?	Hike 25bps 76%	538.5K	December 9, 2026
Number of rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 0 cuts 98%	38.3K	January 1, 2027
Number of emergency rate cuts in 2026?	0 cuts 98%	5.2K	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting?	Above 3.00% 100%	5.0K	December 9, 2026
Fed decision in Jan 2027?	Fed maintains rate 74%	3.0K	January 27, 2027
Fed rate cut before 2027?	Yes 1.7%	2.1K	January 1, 2027
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2026?	Yes 1.6%	2.1K	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2027	Above 1.00% 97%	1.7K	January 1, 2028
Next Fed rate hike?	Before 2029 96%	1.7K	January 1, 2029
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?	Before Jan 31, 2028 66%	1.6K	January 31, 2028
Number of rate hikes in 2026?	Exactly 2 78%	1.0K	January 3, 2027
Number of Fed rate changes before 2027	Exactly 2 74%	938	January 1, 2027
December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents	Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 68%	747	December 9, 2026
Fed decision in Mar 2027?	Fed maintains rate 53%	705	March 17, 2027
Fed decision in Dec 2027?	Fed maintains rate 86%	368	December 8, 2027
Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken?	Dot Plot Omitted 8.5%	320	January 1, 2027
Next Fed rate cut?	Before July 2028 84%	270	January 1, 2029
Size of Fed balance sheet at end of 2026	Above $6.2 trillion 99%	214	December 31, 2026
Who will dissent at the December Fed meeting?	Beth Hammack 22%	161	December 9, 2026
Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November	Above -0.62 97%	155	November 25, 2026
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?	Above 0.00% 99%	104	December 8, 2027
Fed median dot plot in December 2026	Above 3.5% 97%	102	December 9, 2026
Fed decision in Apr 2027?	Fed maintains rate 56%	74	April 28, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?	Above 0.50% 99%	54	January 27, 2027
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?	Yes 2.1%	40	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate after Mar 2027 meeting?	Above 1.00% 98%	15	March 17, 2027
Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 0ㅤ 94%	14	January 1, 2027
Fed funds rate after Apr 2027 meeting?	Above 0.25% 98%	10	April 28, 2027
Fed funds rate at end of 2036	Above 2.00% 95%	8	January 1, 2037
How many dissenting votes at the December Fed meeting?	0 68%	6	December 9, 2026
Fed decision in Oct 2027?	Fed maintains rate 90%	5	October 27, 2027
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?	Yes 3.5%	4	January 1, 2027
Fed decision in Jan 2028?	Fed maintains rate 60%	3	January 26, 2028
Who will be nominated as a Fed Governor in 2026?	Kevin Hassett 5.9%	0	January 1, 2027
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 5 cuts 86%	0	January 1, 2027
Fed decision in Jul 2027?	Fed maintains rate 92%	0	July 28, 2027
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve?	Yes 5.7%	0	January 20, 2029
Fed decision in Sep 2027?	Fed maintains rate 82%	0	September 15, 2027
Fed decision in Jun 2027?	Fed maintains rate 70%	0	June 9, 2027
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting?	Above 4.00% 99%	0	June 9, 2027
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q4 2026	Above 3.50% 100%	0	January 4, 2027
Fed funds rate after Oct 2027 meeting?	Above 0.25% 99%	0	October 27, 2027
Fed funds rate after Sep 2027 meeting?	Above 0.00% 99%	0	September 15, 2027
Will Trump end the Federal Reserve before 2027?	Yes 1.1%	0	January 1, 2027
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?	Before Jan 1, 2031 78%	0	January 1, 2031
Fed funds rate at end of 2031	Above 1.00% 85%	0	January 1, 2032
Fed funds rate at end of 2033	Above 1.75% 84%	0	January 1, 2034
Fed funds rate at end of 2030	Above 3.00% 92%	0	January 1, 2031
Fed funds rate at end of 2028	Above 1.00% 90%	0	January 1, 2029
Fed funds rate at end of 2029	Above 1.00% 88%	0	January 1, 2030

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Fed rate odds on Kalshi today

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