Kalshi odds today › Tesla

Tesla odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 18 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Tesla deliveries, production and company milestones.

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 66%), Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 7.5%), How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 64%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?Before 2028 66%4.3KJanuary 1, 2028
Tesla Optimus released this year?Yes 7.5%703December 31, 2026
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 64%444April 1, 2027
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?Cybercab 97%158March 31, 2027
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 4.5%119January 1, 2027
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 32%86January 1, 2027
Tesla energy deployment in Q4Above 8 GWh 98%74May 2, 2027
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?Above 500000 in a single quarter 50%73April 1, 2027
Tesla production in Q1 2027Above 325,000 94%68July 31, 2027
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027Above 8 GWh 93%64July 31, 2027
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027Above 300,000 97%58July 31, 2027
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?Above 0 85%55January 1, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026Above 1.5 million 98%49March 31, 2028
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.5 million 98%40March 31, 2028
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 5.0%1January 1, 2027
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?Yes 8.0%0January 1, 2027
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000 100%0March 31, 2028
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?At least $150,000 91%0January 1, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Tesla odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictesla, title = {Tesla odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Tesla odds today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 66%), Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 7.5%), How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027? (Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 64%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.