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Tesla odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 16 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Tesla deliveries, production and company milestones.

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 16 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026? (Yes 1.0%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 66%), Tesla total production in Q3 (Above 430000 97%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Will Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026?Yes 1.0%7.1KOctober 1, 2026
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?Before 2028 66%4.5KJanuary 1, 2028
Tesla total production in Q3Above 430000 97%907January 30, 2027
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?Above 0 94%700January 1, 2027
Tesla total deliveries in Q3Above 455000 92%536January 30, 2027
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.55 million 98%228March 31, 2028
Tesla Optimus released this year?Yes 7.0%141December 31, 2026
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 3.5%83January 1, 2027
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?Cybercab 97%66March 31, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026Above 1.5 million 98%61March 31, 2028
Tesla Roadsters delivered this year?Yes 6.0%50January 1, 2027
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 63%28April 1, 2027
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 8.5%11January 1, 2027
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 25%6January 1, 2027
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?Above 500000 in a single quarter 52%0April 1, 2027
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000 100%0March 31, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Tesla odds on Kalshi today. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictesla, title = {Tesla odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Tesla odds today?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 16 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will Tesla layoff 3,000 employees before October 1, 2026? (Yes 1.0%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 66%), Tesla total production in Q3 (Above 430000 97%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.