Kalshi odds today › Tesla

Tesla odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 18 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Tesla deliveries, production and company milestones.

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 4.5%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 74%), Tesla production in Q1 2027 (Above 325,000 97%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Tesla Optimus released this year?Yes 4.5%2.2KDecember 31, 2026
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?Before 2028 74%910January 1, 2028
Tesla production in Q1 2027Above 325,000 97%820July 31, 2027
How much will the Tesla Roadster cost?At least $150,000 95%553January 1, 2028
Tesla deliveries in Q1 2027Above 225000 98%490July 31, 2027
Tesla total deliveries in 2026Above 1.55 million 98%436March 31, 2028
Tesla energy deployment in Q1 2027Above 8 GWh 95%191July 31, 2027
How much will Tesla deliveries grow this year?Above 500000 in a single quarter 56%188April 1, 2027
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?Yes 15%100January 1, 2027
Tesla Roadster deliveryBefore 2029 48%99January 1, 2029
What will Tesla say during their next earnings call?Cybercab 93%78April 27, 2027
How many Semi Trucks will Tesla Produce in a quarter in 2026?Above 0 86%77January 1, 2027
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 2.0%54January 1, 2027
Tesla energy deployment in Q4Above 8 GWh 97%24May 2, 2027
How much will Tesla's energy business grow before 2027?Above 15 GWh of energy deployed in a single quarter 59%14April 1, 2027
Elon Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?Yes 3.0%0January 1, 2027
Tesla total production in 2026Above 1.5 million 98%0March 31, 2028
Tesla headcount in 2026Above 120000 92%0March 31, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Tesla odds on Kalshi today. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictesla, title = {Tesla odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/tesla/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Tesla odds today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 18 open Tesla events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Tesla Optimus released this year? (Yes 4.5%), When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? (Before 2028 74%), Tesla production in Q1 2027 (Above 325,000 97%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.