Kalshi odds today › Iran
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 13 open events · refreshed twice a day
Markets on Iran's politics, talks with the US and sanctions.
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 13 open Iran events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: US-Iran nuclear deal? (Before Jan 20, 2029 38%), Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? (Yes 5.1%), Will Donald Trump visit Iran? (Yes 3.0%).
| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal? | Before Jan 20, 2029 38% | 10.5K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? | Yes 5.1% | 5.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Iran? | Yes 3.0% | 1.9K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes 4.0% | 1.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting? | Before Jan 1, 2027 46% | 1.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | Yes 3.5% | 430 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei? | Yes 5.5% | 45 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes 5.0% | 39 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? | Yes 2.4% | 32 | March 1, 2027 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran? | Yes 3.1% | 9 | January 1, 2027 |
| Iran crude oil production in September | At least 1.2M bpd 97% | 1 | October 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election? | Yes 3.1% | 0 | January 1, 2027 |
| U.S. imports from Iran >$5M in 2026? | Yes 8.5% | 0 | February 1, 2027 |
For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
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APA
Iran odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/iran/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopiciran, title = {Iran odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/iran/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/iran/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 13 open Iran events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: US-Iran nuclear deal? (Before Jan 20, 2029 38%), Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? (Yes 5.1%), Will Donald Trump visit Iran? (Yes 3.0%).
Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.