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Trump odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 177 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on Donald Trump's actions, appointments and policies.

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 177 open Trump events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026? (38.5% 46%), Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Anna Kelly 22%), How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) (At least 1 2.5%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026?38.5% 46%113.1KOctober 7, 2026
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%44.7KJanuary 21, 2029
How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10)At least 1 2.5%29.0KOctober 11, 2026
Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333?Yes 2.5%15.8KOctober 25, 2026
Will President Trump be impeached during his term?Yes 66%15.6KJanuary 20, 2029
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?Before January 20, 2029 12%14.5KJanuary 20, 2029
Will Trump be impeached?Before Jan 1, 2028 67%14.1KJanuary 1, 2028
Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026?38.2 to 38.4 30%12.1KOctober 9, 2026
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%10.6KOctober 11, 2026
Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act?Before Jan 20, 2029 45%8.3KJanuary 20, 2029
Will Trump resign during his term?Yes 18%5.5KJanuary 21, 2029
How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/3-10/9)At least 3 100%5.4KOctober 10, 2026
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10)At least 1 100%5.1KOctober 11, 2026
Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026?Vladimir Putin 92%4.7KNovember 1, 2026
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10)Above 0 100%4.5KOctober 24, 2026
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?Doug Collins 24%4.4KJanuary 1, 2027
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?At least 1 62%4.2KJanuary 21, 2029
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 30%4.1KJanuary 1, 2027
Will Trump declare an election emergency?Yes 15%3.1KNovember 4, 2026
2026: Trump's dream year?Yes 1.8%3.0KDecember 31, 2027
Which states will Trump visit in 2026?Alaska 96%2.6KJanuary 1, 2027
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026?1 59%2.6KNovember 1, 2026
Will Trump run for a third term?Before Election Day 12%2.3KNovember 7, 2028
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)Before January 20, 2029 24%2.2KJanuary 20, 2029
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?Yes 3.0%1.9KJanuary 1, 2027
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?Yes 48%1.9KOctober 26, 2026
What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?Cuba 4.5%1.8KJanuary 20, 2029
Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9)Yes 37%1.8KOctober 9, 2026
How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?At least 8 100%1.6KNovember 1, 2026
Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes 4.0%1.5KJanuary 1, 2027
How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?Above 45% 5.1%1.4KJanuary 7, 2027
What countries will Trump visit in 2026?Japan 16%1.3KJanuary 1, 2027
Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?Arizona 98%1.2KNovember 1, 2026
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?Yes 59%889November 1, 2026
Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?Yes 54%800February 4, 2027
Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?Yes 16%677January 20, 2029
When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?Before Jan 1, 2027 79%656January 1, 2027
2026: Trump's bad year?Yes 5.4%648December 31, 2027
Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?Yes 2.3%634January 1, 2027
How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?Below 36% 71%619January 7, 2027
When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada?Before Jan 1, 2027 75%609January 1, 2027
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11)7 65%606October 12, 2026
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026?China 11%505January 1, 2027
How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Oct 2026?3 45%446November 1, 2026
Will Trump issue dividend paymentsBefore Apr 1, 2027 16%443April 1, 2027
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?Pete Hegseth 24%421January 20, 2029
Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026?Vladimir Putin 78%400January 1, 2027
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?At least 100 billion 13%393March 31, 2029
Who will Trump pardon?Donald Trump Jr. 78%331January 21, 2029
Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends?Yes 35%321January 20, 2029

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

Trump odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictrump, title = {Trump odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi Trump odds today?

As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 177 open Trump events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026? (38.5% 46%), Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Anna Kelly 22%), How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) (At least 1 2.5%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.