Kalshi odds today › Trump
Trump odds on Kalshi today
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 177 open events · refreshed twice a day
Markets on Donald Trump's actions, appointments and policies.
| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026? | 38.5% 46% | 113.1K | October 7, 2026 |
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? | Anna Kelly 22% | 44.7K | January 21, 2029 |
| How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) | At least 1 2.5% | 29.0K | October 11, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333? | Yes 2.5% | 15.8K | October 25, 2026 |
| Will President Trump be impeached during his term? | Yes 66% | 15.6K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? | Before January 20, 2029 12% | 14.5K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump be impeached? | Before Jan 1, 2028 67% | 14.1K | January 1, 2028 |
| Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026? | 38.2 to 38.4 30% | 12.1K | October 9, 2026 |
| Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10) | 160-179 22% | 10.6K | October 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? | Before Jan 20, 2029 45% | 8.3K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump resign during his term? | Yes 18% | 5.5K | January 21, 2029 |
| How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/3-10/9) | At least 3 100% | 5.4K | October 10, 2026 |
| How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10) | At least 1 100% | 5.1K | October 11, 2026 |
| Who will Donald Trump talk to in Oct 2026? | Vladimir Putin 92% | 4.7K | November 1, 2026 |
| How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10) | Above 0 100% | 4.5K | October 24, 2026 |
| Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? | Doug Collins 24% | 4.4K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term? | At least 1 62% | 4.2K | January 21, 2029 |
| Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh? | Before Jan 1, 2027 30% | 4.1K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump declare an election emergency? | Yes 15% | 3.1K | November 4, 2026 |
| 2026: Trump's dream year? | Yes 1.8% | 3.0K | December 31, 2027 |
| Which states will Trump visit in 2026? | Alaska 96% | 2.6K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct 2026? | 1 59% | 2.6K | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump run for a third term? | Before Election Day 12% | 2.3K | November 7, 2028 |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) | Before January 20, 2029 24% | 2.2K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Iran? | Yes 3.0% | 1.9K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro? | Yes 48% | 1.9K | October 26, 2026 |
| What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? | Cuba 4.5% | 1.8K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9) | Yes 37% | 1.8K | October 9, 2026 |
| How many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? | At least 8 100% | 1.6K | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet the Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes 4.0% | 1.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? | Above 45% 5.1% | 1.4K | January 7, 2027 |
| What countries will Trump visit in 2026? | Japan 16% | 1.3K | January 1, 2027 |
| Which states will Trump visit in Oct 2026? | Arizona 98% | 1.2K | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026? | Yes 59% | 889 | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026? | Yes 54% | 800 | February 4, 2027 |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? | Yes 16% | 677 | January 20, 2029 |
| When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced? | Before Jan 1, 2027 79% | 656 | January 1, 2027 |
| 2026: Trump's bad year? | Yes 5.4% | 648 | December 31, 2027 |
| Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself? | Yes 2.3% | 634 | January 1, 2027 |
| How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? | Below 36% 71% | 619 | January 7, 2027 |
| When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? | Before Jan 1, 2027 75% | 609 | January 1, 2027 |
| How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) | 7 65% | 606 | October 12, 2026 |
| Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with in 2026? | China 11% | 505 | January 1, 2027 |
| How many times will Trump visit his D.C. golf club in Oct 2026? | 3 45% | 446 | November 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump issue dividend payments | Before Apr 1, 2027 16% | 443 | April 1, 2027 |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? | Pete Hegseth 24% | 421 | January 20, 2029 |
| Who will Donald Trump meet in 2026? | Vladimir Putin 78% | 400 | January 1, 2027 |
| How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? | At least 100 billion 13% | 393 | March 31, 2029 |
| Who will Trump pardon? | Donald Trump Jr. 78% | 331 | January 21, 2029 |
| Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? | Yes 35% | 321 | January 20, 2029 |
For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
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Cite this data
APA
Trump odds on Kalshi today. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopictrump, title = {Trump odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/trump/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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Frequently asked questions
What are the Kalshi Trump odds today?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 177 open Trump events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026? (38.5% 46%), Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Anna Kelly 22%), How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) (At least 1 2.5%).
How often is this list updated?
Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.