OpenAI Odds on Kalshi Today: 33 Open Markets

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 33 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 33 open OpenAI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: ChatGPT App Downloads in October (Above 50 99%), When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+? (Before Dec 31, 2026 94%), OpenAI market share this week (Above 16.7% 100%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
ChatGPT App Downloads in October	Above 50 99%	110.6K	November 8, 2026
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+?	Before Dec 31, 2026 94%	31.9K	December 31, 2026
OpenAI market share this week	Above 16.7% 100%	6.4K	November 9, 2026
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?	Yes 2.5%	4.4K	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?	Before 2030 67%	4.3K	January 1, 2030
ChatGPT App downloads in November 2026	Above 61.5 96%	1.9K	December 8, 2026
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?	Clip-on device for clothing 8.5%	1.6K	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?	Before Jun 1, 2027 47%	1.2K	June 1, 2027
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?	Yes 2.5%	602	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?	Anthropic 94%	483	January 1, 2040
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?	Goldman Sachs 64%	405	January 1, 2028
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?	$25/MTok or below 25%	221	April 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?	Before Jan 1, 2027 16%	180	January 1, 2027
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?	$4/MTok or below 27%	90	April 1, 2027
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?	Yes 51%	37	January 1, 2028
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?	Before Jan 1, 2028 64%	33	January 1, 2028
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 12.3% 82%	20	November 9, 2026
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 8, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 17.4% 58%	16	November 9, 2026
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?	Information Technology 91%	11	January 11, 2028
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?	Yes 7.5%	9	January 1, 2027
OpenAI share of spend on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 14.5% 62%	7	November 11, 2026
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Bubeck?	Yes 9.0%	5	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?	Before Jan 1, 2029 73%	3	December 31, 2028
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?	Before Jan 20, 2029 48%	3	January 20, 2029
OpenAI share of requests on Nov 10, 2026 (Vercel)	Yes 58%	1	November 11, 2026
Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026	Meta 84%	0	December 31, 2026
Which banks will take OpenAI public?	Stifel Financial 40%	0	January 1, 2028
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?	Yes 56%	0	January 1, 2028
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?	Before 2028 82%	0	January 1, 2028
Will Sam Altman hold super-voting OpenAI shares at IPO?	Yes 20%	0	January 1, 2028
Will Sébastien Bubeck leave OpenAI?	Yes 6.5%	0	January 1, 2027
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?	Yes 58%	0	January 1, 2029
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?	Yes 3.0%	0	January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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