OpenAI Odds on Kalshi Today: 29 Open Markets

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 29 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 29 open OpenAI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: OpenAI market share this week (Above 14.0% 100%), When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? (Before Jan 1, 2027 85%), When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? (Before Nov 13, 2026 70%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
OpenAI market share this week	Above 14.0% 100%	20.7K	September 28, 2026
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?	Before Jan 1, 2027 85%	2.7K	January 1, 2027
When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?	Before Nov 13, 2026 70%	2.4K	November 13, 2026
ChatGPT App Downloads in September	Above 101 40%	1.0K	October 8, 2026
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?	Before Jan 1, 2028 85%	819	January 1, 2028
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?	Before Jun 1, 2027 52%	815	June 1, 2027
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?	Before 2030 66%	777	January 1, 2030
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 output token price get in 2026?	$15/MTok or below 17%	295	April 1, 2027
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get in 2026?	$4/MTok or below 16%	161	April 1, 2027
What sector will OpenAI be assigned to?	Information Technology 88%	66	January 11, 2028
Sam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?	Yes 8.0%	60	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?	Yes 11%	47	January 1, 2027
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?	Clip-on device for clothing 12%	28	January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?	Anthropic 93%	19	January 1, 2040
Will Sébastien Bubeck leave OpenAI?	Yes 18%	4	January 1, 2027
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?	Yes 60%	0	January 1, 2028
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?	Yes 10%	0	January 1, 2027
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?	Goldman Sachs 79%	0	January 1, 2028
Which banks will take OpenAI public?	Stifel Financial 44%	0	January 1, 2028
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?	Yes 54%	0	January 1, 2028
OpenAI corporate adoption rate in September	Above 39.3% 94%	0	October 17, 2026
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?	Before Jan 1, 2029 70%	0	December 31, 2028
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?	Before Jan 20, 2029 54%	0	January 20, 2029
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI or Bubeck?	Yes 14%	0	January 1, 2027
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?	Yes 7.0%	0	January 1, 2027
Will Apple win its case against OpenAI?	Yes 55%	0	January 1, 2029
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?	Before 2028 83%	0	January 1, 2028
OpenAI share of spend on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 20% 74%	0	September 25, 2026
OpenAI share of requests on Sep 24, 2026 (Vercel)	Above 17% 89%	0	September 25, 2026

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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