Kalshi odds today › 2026 midterms
Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · election day November 3, 2026 · refreshed twice a day
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, -4 days before the November 3, 2026 elections, Kalshi has no open Senate control market. The closest Senate races: Alaska (Democratic party 97%); Mississippi (Scott Colom 99%).
| Market | Favourite | Chance | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|
| Same party in both | Yes | 97% | - |
| State | Favourite | Chance | Runner-up | Leading candidate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska | Democratic party | 97% | Republican party 3.1% | Mary Peltola 96% |
| Mississippi | Scott Colom | 99% | Cindy Hyde-Smith 1.2% | - |
| State | Favourite | Chance | Runner-up | Leading candidate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Mariana Islands | Ralph Torres | 97% | Blas “BJ” Attao 5.0% | - |
| U.S. Virgin Islands | Stacey Plaskett | 97% | Gustav James 4.0% | - |
| Alaska | Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins | 99% | Treg Taylor 1.0% | - |
| Guam | Tony Ada | 100% | Therese Terlaje 1.0% | - |
Out of 18 House districts with an open Kalshi market.
| District | Favourite | Chance | Runner-up | Leading candidate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC-03 | Raymond Smith Jr. | 82% | Greg Murphy 19% | - |
| LA-06 | Republican party | 91% | Democratic party 9.0% | - |
| LA-05 | Republican party | 94% | Democratic party 6.0% | - |
| TN-04 | Victoria Broderick | 96% | Scott DesJarlais 4.9% | - |
| CA-23 | Jay Obernolte | 97% | Tessa Lynn Hodge 2.8% | - |
| FL-27 | Maria Elvira Salazar | 97% | Eliott Rodriguez 2.9% | - |
| CO-04 | Eileen Laubacher | 97% | Lauren Boebert 2.7% | - |
| NC-05 | Chuck Hubbard | 97% | Virginia Foxx 2.4% | - |
| MN-01 | Jake Johnson | 98% | Brad Finstad 1.8% | - |
| SC-02 | Joe Wilson | 98% | Zyon Khalifa 1.8% | - |
| NC-07 | David Rouzer | 99% | Kim Hardy 1.2% | - |
| FL-07 | Ryan Elijah | 99% | Bale Dalton 1.0% | - |
| WA-05 | Michael Baumgartner | 99% | Carmela Conroy 0.8% | - |
| NC-10 | Pat Harrigan | 99% | Ashley Bell 0.7% | - |
| FL-26 | Mario Díaz-Balart | 99% | Nicole Locklin 0.9% | - |
| AZ-02 | Eli Crane | 99% | Jonathan Nez 0.7% | - |
| FL-09 | Darren Soto | 99% | Dan Green 0.7% | - |
| ME-02 | Paul LePage | 100% | Matt Dunlap <1% | - |
Favourite: the race's winner market (Kalshi labels most of them with the nominees' names); leading candidate comes from Kalshi's separate candidate market where the winner market is labelled by party. Closest first means the smallest gap between the favourite and the runner-up. Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Every race is its own market with its own rules. Kalshi's Texas Senate party market, for example, resolves Yes for the party whose representative is sworn in as senator for the term beginning in 2027, and it is eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner. Control markets follow the same idea for each chamber. Read the full rules on Kalshi before trading.
More: all Senate markets · all House markets · all governor markets · is Kalshi legal in your state? · what an event contract is · all live Kalshi odds
Free JSON: /api/v1/markets/midterms-2026.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).
APA
2026 midterms on Kalshi. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsmidterms2026, title = {2026 midterms on Kalshi}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/midterms-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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There is no open Senate control market right now.
The table lists every 2026 Senate race by the gap between the favourite and the runner-up, closest first: Alaska (Democratic party 97%), Mississippi (Scott Colom 99%).
Each race has its own rules. Kalshi's Texas Senate party market, for example, resolves Yes for the party whose representative is sworn in as senator for the term beginning in 2027, and is eligible for accelerated determination once a consensus of media organizations projects the winner. Read the rules of the market you trade.
Twice a day, with the rest of the live Kalshi odds pages.