Brazil Odds on Kalshi Today: 28 Open Markets

Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 28 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 28 open Brazil events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Brazil Presidential election winner? (Flávio Bolsonaro 86%), Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory (Lula da Silva, ≥1% 11%), Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent (At least 44% 98%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Brazil Presidential election winner?	Flávio Bolsonaro 86%	445.8K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory	Lula da Silva, ≥1% 11%	36.8K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent	At least 44% 98%	22.2K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory	Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% 42%	11.6K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?	Roraima 97%	11.1K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent	At least 48% 98%	7.3K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout	At least 119,000,000 98%	4.5K	October 25, 2026
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?	7 or more cuts 76%	3.8K	January 1, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory	Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 74%	3.1K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 70%	1.1K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: will Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro debate?	Yes 86%	513	October 25, 2026
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?	Yes 25%	461	January 1, 2027
Brazil inflation rate in September	Above 3.60% 94%	362	October 9, 2026
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?	Yes 17%	293	January 1, 2027
Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?	Mexico 72%	151	October 25, 2027
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?	Yes 28%	100	October 26, 2026
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?	Above 4.75% 75%	55	January 1, 2027
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won	PL 96%	36	October 4, 2027
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?	Yes 6.5%	0	March 31, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?	Yes 64%	0	March 31, 2027
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?	Above 3.75% 95%	0	March 31, 2027
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November	Cut 1-25bps 92%	0	November 4, 2026
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026	Above $2.3 trillion 97%	0	April 1, 2027
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026	Above 1.0% 30%	0	December 2, 2026
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?	Celina Leão 98%	0	October 25, 2027
Brazil unemployment rate in September	Above 5.1% 90%	0	October 30, 2026
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)	Above 0.5% 90%	0	March 2, 2027
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?	10% or above 80%	0	January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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