Brazil Odds on Kalshi Today: 35 Open Markets

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 35 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 35 open Brazil events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Brazil Presidential election winner? (Flávio Bolsonaro 56%), Brazil presidential election: first round winner? (Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 74%), Brazilian Senate election winner? (Liberal Party 84%).

Event	Leading outcome	24h volume	Closes
Brazil Presidential election winner?	Flávio Bolsonaro 56%	123.5K	October 25, 2027
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?	Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 74%	13.8K	October 4, 2027
Brazilian Senate election winner?	Liberal Party 84%	2.5K	October 4, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory	Lula da Silva, 0-5% 54%	1.7K	October 4, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place	Flávio Bolsonaro 72%	1.1K	October 4, 2027
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)	At least 1% 94%	975	October 4, 2027
Brazilian presidential election: Augusto Cury vote percent (1st Round)	At least 1% 96%	605	October 4, 2027
Will anyone win outright in the Brazil Presidential election?	Yes 7.9%	578	October 4, 2027
Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)	At least 1% 94%	425	October 4, 2027
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held	PL 92%	413	October 4, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place	Renan Santos 44%	336	October 4, 2027
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro?	Yes 30%	132	October 26, 2026
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?	Exactly 6 cuts 42%	28	January 1, 2027
Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?	Flavio Bolsonaro 98%	25	October 3, 2028
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election: Most Seats Won	PL 58%	23	October 4, 2027
Brazil presidential election: 4th place (1st round)	Ronaldo Caiado 35%	21	October 4, 2027
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?	Yes 29%	6	January 1, 2027
Brazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)	At least 37% 86%	5	October 4, 2027
Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)	Ronaldo Caiado 33%	1	October 4, 2027
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in November	Cut 1-25bps 97%	1	November 4, 2026
Who will run for President of Brazil?	Ratinho Júnior 3.0%	0	October 4, 2026
Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?	Yes 5.0%	0	March 31, 2027
Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?	Yes 9.5%	0	January 1, 2027
Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)	At least 21% 98%	0	October 4, 2027
How high will Brazil inflation get this year?	Above 4.75% 78%	0	January 1, 2027
Will unemployment in Brazil be below 5.8% in Q4 2026?	Yes 66%	0	March 31, 2027
Brazil unemployment rate in August	Above 5.0% 97%	0	September 30, 2026
What will inflation in Brazil be in Dec 2026?	Above 3.50% 95%	0	March 31, 2027
Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026	Above $2.3 trillion 97%	0	April 1, 2027
Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won	MDB 47%	0	October 4, 2027
Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026	Above 1.4% 50%	0	December 2, 2026
Brazil Federal District Governor winner?	Celina Leão 84%	0	October 25, 2027
Brazil inflation rate in September	Above 3.60% 94%	0	October 9, 2026
Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)	Above 0.5% 94%	0	March 2, 2027
What will the tariff rate on Brazilian imports be on Jan 1, 2027?	10% or above 78%	0	January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Brazil odds on Kalshi today

Other topics

Cite this data

Frequently asked questions