Kalshi odds today › Germany politics
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 7 open events · refreshed twice a day
Markets on German elections and the Chancellor.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 7 open Germany politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? (Before Jan 1, 2029 93%), AfD margin of victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? (AfD, ≥15% 9.0%), Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? (At least 37% 98%).
| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? | Before Jan 1, 2029 93% | 625 | January 1, 2029 |
| AfD margin of victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | AfD, ≥15% 9.0% | 200 | September 20, 2027 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? | At least 37% 98% | 17 | September 20, 2027 |
| Next German federal election winner? | AfD 79% | 12 | March 25, 2030 |
| AfD in a German state government in 2026? | Yes 38% | 0 | January 1, 2027 |
| Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? | Friedrich Merz 22% | 0 | August 26, 2029 |
| Berlin state election: AfD vote share? | At least 11% 98% | 0 | September 20, 2027 |
For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
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APA
Germany politics odds on Kalshi today. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/germany-politics/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicgermanypolitics, title = {Germany politics odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/germany-politics/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/germany-politics/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 7 open Germany politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? (Before Jan 1, 2029 93%), AfD margin of victory in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? (AfD, ≥15% 9.0%), Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: AfD vote share? (At least 37% 98%).
Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.