HomeMarketsLive oddsBlogToolsAPI

Kalshi odds today › AI models

AI models odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · 17 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on AI model releases, benchmarks and AGI timelines.

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 17 open AI models events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Top AI model this week (claude-fable-5.1-max 54%), When will Google release Gemini 4? (Before Jan 1, 2027 95%), When will any company achieve AGI? (Before Jan 1, 2029 84%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Top AI model this weekclaude-fable-5.1-max 54%12.1KSeptember 28, 2026
When will Google release Gemini 4?Before Jan 1, 2027 95%11.9KJanuary 1, 2027
When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2029 84%7.9KJanuary 1, 2031
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic 70%7.7KDecember 31, 2026
Next Gemini Pro model releaseBefore Nov 16, 2026 94%3.8KDecember 1, 2026
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?OpenAI 21%3.3KJanuary 1, 2027
When will xAI release Grok 5?Before 2027 44%1.1KJanuary 1, 2027
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2030 66%777January 1, 2030
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena scoreabove 1490 81%522January 1, 2027
Top AI model in September?claude-fable-5.1-max 39%403September 30, 2026
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?Before Dec 31, 2027 86%210December 31, 2027
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Yes 9.5%152January 1, 2027
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 8.5%11January 1, 2027
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 82%0January 1, 2027
Grok 4.7 debut arena scoreAbove 1430 91%0January 1, 2027
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?Before 2030 53%0January 1, 2030
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?Before 2028 83%0January 1, 2028

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Other topics

Fed rate (61) · CPI inflation (65) · Jobs and unemployment (44) · Recession (5) · GDP (43) · 2028 election (92) · Trump (174) · AI (111) · Bitcoin and crypto (47) · Bitcoin (23) · Ethereum (9) · Solana (10) · Senate (303) · House (1525) · Governor races (263) · Supreme Court (61) · Government shutdown (3) · Elon Musk (12) · Tesla (16) · SpaceX (17) · OpenAI (29) · Apple (6) · Nvidia (79) · Ukraine (7) · Russia (11) · Iran (13) · Israel (27) · China (33) · Taiwan (6) · Venezuela (8) · Brazil (35) · UK politics (23) · France politics (8) · Germany politics (7) · NFL (170) · NBA (105) · MLB (78) · NHL (52) · Soccer (66) · Tennis (17) · Golf (14) · Formula 1 (14) · Esports (8) · Oscars (30) · Grammys (27) · Weather (77) · Hurricanes (43) · Space (31) · TV shows (82) · Music charts (162)

Cite this data

APA

AI models odds on Kalshi today. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicaimodels, title = {AI models odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/}}

HTML credit

<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

CC BY 4.0: keep a visible link to this page. More formats: how to cite and reuse Kalshi View.

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi AI models odds today?

As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, Kalshi lists 17 open AI models events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Top AI model this week (claude-fable-5.1-max 54%), When will Google release Gemini 4? (Before Jan 1, 2027 95%), When will any company achieve AGI? (Before Jan 1, 2029 84%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.