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AI models odds on Kalshi today

Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · 19 open events · refreshed twice a day

Markets on AI model releases, benchmarks and AGI timelines.

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 19 open AI models events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic 78%), When will OpenAI achieve AGI? (Before 2030 67%), Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? (Meta 12%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?Anthropic 78%9.8KDecember 31, 2026
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?Before 2030 67%4.3KJanuary 1, 2030
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?Meta 12%3.3KJanuary 1, 2027
Next Gemini Pro model releaseBefore Dec 1, 2026 8.5%1.1KDecember 1, 2026
When will any company achieve AGI?Before Jan 1, 2030 80%923January 1, 2031
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?Yes 5.0%539January 1, 2027
Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena scoreabove 1490 14%218January 1, 2027
Top AI model this monthGemini 4 Carbon (High) 74%206November 30, 2026
When will xAI release Grok 5?Before 2027 11%182January 1, 2027
Which AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?Anthropic 90%100December 31, 2026
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?Yes 2.0%54January 1, 2027
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 in 2027Yes 32%28January 1, 2028
Best LLM at the end of the decade?Essential AI 24%8December 31, 2029
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?United States 66%6December 31, 2029
Will an LLM beat a grandmaster in chess?Before 2030 75%3January 1, 2030
Will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?Yes 66%0January 1, 2027
When will Anthropic release Claude 6?Before Dec 31, 2027 90%0December 31, 2027
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?Before 2028 82%0January 1, 2028
Which companies will have the top AI model before 2030?Meta 61%0January 1, 2030

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Cite this data

APA

AI models odds on Kalshi today. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketstopicaimodels, title = {AI models odds on Kalshi today}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/}}

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<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/topic/ai-models/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi AI models odds today?

As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, Kalshi lists 19 open AI models events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? (Anthropic 78%), When will OpenAI achieve AGI? (Before 2030 67%), Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? (Meta 12%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.