Snapshot September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXRATECUT-26DEC31
As of September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 4.8% (5¢ per contract), with 1.4M contracts traded in total and 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.8% | · | 1.4M | 544.7K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.
More on this topic: Fed rate odds on Kalshi
As of September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 4.8% (5¢ per contract), with 1.4M contracts traded in total and 18.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/fed-rate-cut-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Fed rate cut before 2027? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-before-2027/">Fed rate cut before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
Fed rate cut before 2027? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 25). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 25, 2026 at 17:59 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-before-2027/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfedratecutbefore2027, title = {Fed rate cut before 2027? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-25 17:59 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-before-2027/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-rate-cut-before-2027/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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