Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Exactly 0 cuts at 95%, followed by Exactly 1 cut at 3.0%, Exactly 2 cuts at 1.5%. 10.4M contracts have traded, 19.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Exactly 0 cuts ■ Exactly 1 cut ■ Exactly 2 cuts · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).”
What are the Kalshi odds for Number of rate cuts in 2026?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Exactly 0 cuts at 95%, followed by Exactly 1 cut at 3.0%, Exactly 2 cuts at 1.5%. 10.4M contracts have traded, 19.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Number of rate cuts in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Number of rate cuts in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnumberofratecutsin2026, title = {Number of rate cuts in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/number-of-rate-cuts-in-2026/}}
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