Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-28JAN01
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 1.00% at 98%, followed by Above 2.25% at 98%, Above 1.25% at 98%. 70.4K contracts have traded, 3.4K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.00% | 98% | · | 612 | 361 |
| Above 2.25% | 98% | · | 851 | 468 |
| Above 1.25% | 98% | · | 2.2K | 731 |
| Above 2.00% | 97% | · | 233 | 164 |
| Above 1.75% | 97% | · | 111 | 25 |
| Above 1.50% | 96% | · | 196 | 55 |
| Above 2.50% | 96% | · | 1.0K | 653 |
| Above 2.75% | 92% | · | 4.4K | 2.0K |
| Above 3.00% | 88% | -4 pts | 2.0K | 1.2K |
| Above 3.25% | 88% | · | 15.6K | 7.8K |
| Above 3.50% | 84% | -9 pts | 4.9K | 3.4K |
| Above 4.00% | 82% | -3 pts | 12.0K | 3.9K |
| Above 3.75% | 79% | -4 pts | 11.9K | 5.3K |
| Above 4.25% | 72% | +9 pts | 6.8K | 2.7K |
| Above 4.50% | 62% | +3 pts | 4.5K | 2.3K |
| Above 4.75% | 33% | +1 pts | 482 | 321 |
| Above 5.25% | 14% | · | 1.3K | 931 |
| Above 5.00% | 12% | · | 668 | 625 |
| Above 5.50% | 12% | · | 96 | 73 |
| Above 6.00% | 5.5% | · | 222 | 176 |
1 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 2.25% ■ Above 1.25% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 1.00% at 98%, followed by Above 2.25% at 98%, Above 1.25% at 98%. 70.4K contracts have traded, 3.4K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Fed funds rate at end of 2027 Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027/">Fed funds rate at end of 2027 odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).