Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXFEDFUNDSYEAR-28JAN01
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2.25% at 98%, followed by Above 1.00% at 98%, Above 1.75% at 97%. 100.8K contracts have traded, 838 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 2.25% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027, as published on the Federal Reserve’s official website, is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Federal Reserve specifies a single target rate rather than a target range, that target rate will be used.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Fed funds rate at end of 2027?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2.25% at 98%, followed by Above 1.00% at 98%, Above 1.75% at 97%. 100.8K contracts have traded, 838 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Fed funds rate at end of 2027 market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfedfundsrateatendof2027, title = {Fed funds rate at end of 2027: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-funds-rate-at-end-of-2027/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
