Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXFEDDECISION-27JUL
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fed maintains rate at 76%, followed by Hike 25bps at 16%, Cut 25bps at 7.0%. 116.5K contracts have traded, 12 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Fed maintains rate ■ Hike 25bps ■ Cut 25bps · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Fed decision in Jul 2027?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Fed maintains rate at 76%, followed by Hike 25bps at 16%, Cut 25bps at 7.0%. 116.5K contracts have traded, 12 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Fed decision in Jul 2027 market close?
The listed close date is July 28, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Fed decision in Jul 2027? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-decision-in-jul-2027/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsfeddecisioninjul2027, title = {Fed decision in Jul 2027? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/fed-decision-in-jul-2027/}}
