Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXFEDHIKE-2
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before 2029 at 96%, followed by Before July 2028 at 96%, Before 2028 at 94%. 94.3K contracts have traded, 57 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before 2029 ■ Before July 2028 ■ Before 2028 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Federal Reserve announces an increase in the target range or target level for the federal funds rate after market Issuance and on or before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before 2029 at 96%, followed by Before July 2028 at 96%, Before 2028 at 94%. 94.3K contracts have traded, 57 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Next Fed rate hike market close?
The listed close dates range from January 1, 2027 to January 1, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Next Fed rate hike? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-fed-rate-hike/
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
