Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXLLM1-26DEC31
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Claude at 71%, followed by ChatGPT at 13%, Gemini at 8.9%. 12.0M contracts have traded, 114.7K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude | 71% | -1 pts | 2.5M | 1.2M |
| ChatGPT | 13% | -2 pts | 2.4M | 1.2M |
| Gemini | 8.9% | · | 1.8M | 1.1M |
| Grok | 3.4% | -1 pts | 1.7M | 1.1M |
| Muse Spark | 2.2% | · | 1.3M | 813.9K |
| Kimi | 1.0% | · | 682.4K | 513.9K |
| Qwen | 0.7% | · | 881.4K | 618.1K |
| Ernie | <1% | · | 785.6K | 541.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Claude ■ ChatGPT ■ Gemini · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Claude at 71%, followed by ChatGPT at 13%, Gemini at 8.9%. 12.0M contracts have traded, 114.7K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is December 31, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/">Best AI at the end of 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbestaiattheendof2026, title = {Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/best-ai-at-the-end-of-2026/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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