When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Companies · Event KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 90%, followed by Before Mar 1, 2027 at 90%, Before Feb 1, 2027 at 86%. 2.7M contracts have traded, 7.4K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before Apr 1, 2027 ■ Before Mar 1, 2027 ■ Before Feb 1, 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 10, 2026.”
What are the Kalshi odds for When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 90%, followed by Before Mar 1, 2027 at 90%, Before Feb 1, 2027 at 86%. 2.7M contracts have traded, 7.4K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO market close?
The listed close dates range from October 10, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillanthropicofficiallyannounceanipo, title = {When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo/}}
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