Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Companies · Event KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 90%, followed by Before Mar 1, 2027 at 88%, Before Feb 1, 2027 at 84%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 6.1K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 90% | · | 16.0K | 9.2K |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 88% | · | 9.3K | 5.2K |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 84% | -1 pts | 13.8K | 6.0K |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 74% | -5 pts | 117.6K | 41.5K |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 57% | +2 pts | 153.5K | 70.5K |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 7.5% | -9 pts | 276.9K | 94.4K |
| Before Oct 24, 2026 | 2.5% | -1 pts | 33.5K | 13.2K |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | · | 722.2K | 375.2K |
| Before Oct 17, 2026 | 1.0% | · | 45.2K | 28.0K |
| Before Oct 10, 2026 | 1.0% | · | 17.9K | 13.8K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Apr 1, 2027 ■ Before Mar 1, 2027 ■ Before Feb 1, 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 90%, followed by Before Mar 1, 2027 at 88%, Before Feb 1, 2027 at 84%. 2.2M contracts have traded, 6.1K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo/">When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/when-will-anthropic-officially-announce-an-ipo.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).