When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXOAIPERSONALAGENT-27JAN01
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 30%, followed by Before Dec 1, 2026 at 24%, Before Nov 1, 2026 at 14%. 233.0K contracts have traded, 908 in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before Jan 1, 2027 ■ Before Dec 1, 2026 ■ Before Nov 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If an OpenAI product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages. Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function. Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify. The …”
What are the Kalshi odds for When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
As of October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2027 at 30%, followed by Before Dec 1, 2026 at 24%, Before Nov 1, 2026 at 14%. 233.0K contracts have traded, 908 in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent market close?
The listed close dates range from November 1, 2026 to January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 8). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 8, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-openai-release-a-personal-ai-agent/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillopenaireleaseapersonalaiagent, title = {When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-08 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-openai-release-a-personal-ai-agent/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
