Snapshot October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXGPT-ASTRA61
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 13, 2026 at 15%, followed by Before Nov 6, 2026 at 12%, Before Oct 30, 2026 at 11%. 199.4K contracts have traded, 6.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before Nov 13, 2026 ■ Before Nov 6, 2026 ■ Before Oct 30, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.”
What are the Kalshi odds for When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
As of October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 13, 2026 at 15%, followed by Before Nov 6, 2026 at 12%, Before Oct 30, 2026 at 11%. 199.4K contracts have traded, 6.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1 market close?
The listed close dates range from October 9, 2026 to November 13, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/when-will-openai-release-astra-6-1/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Kalshi odds"></iframe>
<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-openai-release-astra-6-1/">When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 6). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 6, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-openai-release-astra-6-1/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhenwillopenaireleaseastra61, title = {When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-06 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/when-will-openai-release-astra-6-1/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
