Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPADMINLEAVE-26DEC31
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Doug Collins at 26%, followed by Pete Hegseth at 24%, Susie Wiles at 24%. 5.8M contracts have traded, 7.9K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Doug Collins ■ Pete Hegseth ■ Susie Wiles · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kash Patel must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
As of October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Doug Collins at 26%, followed by Pete Hegseth at 24%, Susie Wiles at 24%. 5.8M contracts have traded, 7.9K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026 market close?
The listed close dates range from December 31, 2026 to January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
Use this data
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-their-role-in-the-trump-administration-in-2026/">Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 10). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 10, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-their-role-in-the-trump-administration-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswhowillleavetheirroleinthetrumpadministrationin2026, title = {Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-10 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/who-will-leave-their-role-in-the-trump-administration-in-2026/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
