Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death): Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPOUT27-27
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 20, 2029 at 24%, followed by Before 2028 at 18%, Before 2027 at 3.6%. 11.3M contracts have traded, 34.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Before January 20, 2029 ■ Before 2028 ■ Before 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the President will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. An acknowledgement by Donald Trump that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If Donald Trump leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for …”
What are the Kalshi odds for Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)?
As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 20, 2029 at 24%, followed by Before 2028 at 18%, Before 2027 at 3.6%. 11.3M contracts have traded, 34.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) market close?
The listed close dates range from January 1, 2027 to January 20, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death/">Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsdonaldtrumpannouncesdepartureaspresidentexcludingdeath, title = {Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/donald-trump-announces-departure-as-president-excluding-death/}}
