How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? Kalshi Odds: Below 36% 71%

Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31

Current odds

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

Outcome	Chance	24h change	Volume	Open interest
Below 36%	71%	·	76.9K	26.9K
Below 35%	38%	-1 pts	62.6K	30.0K
Below 34%	15%	·	36.7K	12.4K
Below 33%	10%	+1 pts	64.8K	26.4K

■ Below 36% ■ Below 35% ■ Below 34% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

“If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 36%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.”

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Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Below 36% at 71%, followed by Below 35% at 38%, Below 34% at 15%. 384.4K contracts have traded, 799 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027 market close?

The listed close date is January 7, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketshowlowwilltrumpsapprovalratinggetbefore2027, title = {How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/}}

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