Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Below 37% at 76%, followed by Below 36% at 40%, Below 35% at 26%. 352.2K contracts have traded, 3.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 37% | 76% | -1 pts | 61.2K | 17.5K |
| Below 36% | 40% | +1 pts | 69.9K | 27.8K |
| Below 35% | 26% | +1 pts | 57.1K | 27.5K |
| Below 34% | 12% | -1 pts | 30.9K | 10.4K |
| Below 33% | 8.8% | -1 pts | 58.6K | 21.9K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Below 37% ■ Below 36% ■ Below 35% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 37%, then the market resolves to Yes. In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Below 37% at 76%, followed by Below 36% at 40%, Below 35% at 26%. 352.2K contracts have traded, 3.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is January 7, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027/">How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/how-low-will-trump-s-approval-rating-get-before-2027.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).