Kalshi odds today › Science and Technology
Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXGEMINI-NEXTPRO
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 16, 2026 at 94%, followed by Before Dec 1, 2026 at 94%, Before Nov 1, 2026 at 81%. 32.9K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 16, 2026 | 94% | -5 pts | 950 | 798 |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 94% | · | 202 | 202 |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 81% | -4 pts | 6.8K | 3.3K |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 32% | -22 pts | 9.9K | 4.1K |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 4.0% | -4 pts | 7.9K | 5.8K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Nov 16, 2026 ■ Before Dec 1, 2026 ■ Before Nov 1, 2026 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Nov 16, 2026 at 94%, followed by Before Dec 1, 2026 at 94%, Before Nov 1, 2026 at 81%. 32.9K contracts have traded, 4.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to December 1, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/next-gemini-pro-model-release/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next Gemini Pro model release Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-gemini-pro-model-release/">Next Gemini Pro model release odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/next-gemini-pro-model-release.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).