Snapshot September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Science and Technology · Event KXARENASCORE-GEMI35P
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is above 1520 at 91%, followed by above 1490 at 90%, above 1510 at 89%. 61.2K contracts have traded, 18.7K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ above 1520 ■ above 1490 ■ above 1510 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
As of September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is above 1520 at 91%, followed by above 1490 at 90%, above 1510 at 89%. 61.2K contracts have traded, 18.7K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score market close?
The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/gemini-3-5-pro-debut-arena-score/">Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 30). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 30, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/gemini-3-5-pro-debut-arena-score/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsgemini35prodebutarenascore, title = {Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-30 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/gemini-3-5-pro-debut-arena-score/}}
Daily Kalshi market checks, results and settlement coverage are posted in the @Kalshi_market channel on Telegram. It is a coverage feed, not a per-market alert service.
