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Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXPAHLAVIVISITA

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 6.9% (7¢ per contract), with 2.0M contracts traded in total and 18.7K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yes6.9%
·2.0M735.7K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 29Sep 27

■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If Reza Pahlavi has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Politics markets

More on this topic: Iran odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

As of September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 6.9% (7¢ per contract), with 2.0M contracts traded in total and 18.7K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026 market close?

The listed close date is January 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 27). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 27, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-reza-pahlavi-visit-iran-in-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillrezapahlavivisitiranin2026, title = {Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-reza-pahlavi-visit-iran-in-2026/}}

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