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Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXBRAZILINF-26DEC-4.00

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 8.5% (8¢ per contract), with 151.1K contracts traded in total and 85 in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Yes8.5%
-72 pts151.1K6.3K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 3Sep 29

■ Yes · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the 12-month inflation rate in Brazil is below 4.00% in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Economics markets

More on this topic: CPI inflation odds on Kalshi · Brazil odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes at 8.5% (8¢ per contract), with 151.1K contracts traded in total and 85 in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026 market close?

The listed close date is March 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-inflation-in-brazil-be-below-4-00-in-dec-2026/

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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswillinflationinbrazilbebelow400indec2026, title = {Will inflation in Brazil be below 4.00% in Dec 2026? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-inflation-in-brazil-be-below-4-00-in-dec-2026/}}

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