Snapshot October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXBC3RD-26OCT24-3
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is BC Greens at 98%, followed by OneBC at 1.0%, CentreBC at 1.0%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 25.6K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Greens | 98% | +15 pts | 6.3K | 4.4K |
| OneBC | 1.0% | -5 pts | 8.7K | 2.7K |
| CentreBC | 1.0% | -4 pts | 6.3K | 2.5K |
| BC NDP | 1.0% | -1 pts | 5.4K | 3.0K |
| BC Conservatives | 1.0% | · | 4.7K | 3.0K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ BC Greens ■ OneBC ■ CentreBC · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If BC NDP finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 British Columbia general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on province-wide certified valid-vote count or percentage, not seats won In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities), rounded down. If no listed party is tied for third and an unlisted party finishes third, every named market resolves NO. Parties that withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received. Resolution uses the final certified result from Elections BC, not the preliminary election-night count.”
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More on this topic: UK politics odds on Kalshi
As of October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, the leading outcome is BC Greens at 98%, followed by OneBC at 1.0%, CentreBC at 1.0%. 31.3K contracts have traded, 25.6K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is October 24, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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British Columbia general election: 3rd place: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 4). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 4, 2026 at 11:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/british-columbia-general-election-3rd-place/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketsbritishcolumbiageneralelection3rdplace, title = {British Columbia general election: 3rd place: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-04 11:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/british-columbia-general-election-3rd-place/}}HTML credit
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