Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds
Snapshot November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXFRENCHPRES-27
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Marine Le Pen at 48%, followed by David Lisnard at 16%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12%. 1.8M contracts have traded, 30.6K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Marine Le Pen ■ David Lisnard ■ Jean-Luc Mélenchon · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Next French presidential election winner?
As of November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, the leading outcome is Marine Le Pen at 48%, followed by David Lisnard at 16%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12%. 1.8M contracts have traded, 30.6K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Next French presidential election winner market close?
The listed close date is May 30, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds. (2026, November 7). Kalshi View. Retrieved November 7, 2026 at 16:22 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-french-presidential-election-winner/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsnextfrenchpresidentialelectionwinner, title = {Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Nov}, note = {Snapshot 2026-11-07 16:22 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-french-presidential-election-winner/}}
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