Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · Category: Elections · Event KXFRENCHPRES-27
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Marine Le Pen at 42%, followed by Édouard Philippe at 22%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12%. 348.1K contracts have traded, 3.3K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 42% | +1 pts | 105.4K | 59.5K |
| Édouard Philippe | 22% | -4 pts | 33.4K | 12.7K |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12% | · | 23.3K | 15.6K |
| David Lisnard | 7.4% | · | 23.0K | 11.2K |
| François Hollande | 5.5% | -1 pts | 36.8K | 25.4K |
| Jordan Bardella | 3.8% | · | 78.6K | 26.5K |
| Gabriel Attal | 1.9% | · | 18.3K | 9.3K |
| Sarah Knafo | 1.0% | · | 5.1K | 2.8K |
| Dominique de Villepin | 0.6% | · | 8.2K | 5.0K |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0.6% | · | 2.2K | 2.2K |
| Éric Zemmour | 0.5% | · | 3.1K | 3.1K |
| François Bayrou | <1% | · | 1.0K | 1.0K |
| Manuel Bompard | <1% | · | 2.3K | 2.3K |
| Jean Castex | <1% | · | 398 | 214 |
| Bruno Retailleau | <1% | · | 3.7K | 3.2K |
| François Ruffin | <1% | · | 2.5K | 1.5K |
| Carole Delga | <1% | · | 9 | 9 |
| Laurent Wauquiez | <1% | · | 2 | 2 |
| Xavier Bertrand | <1% | · | 188 | 95 |
| Olivier Faure | <1% | · | 102 | 102 |
8 lower-priced outcomes are in the JSON data.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Marine Le Pen ■ Édouard Philippe ■ Jean-Luc Mélenchon · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Édouard Philippe wins the next French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, the leading outcome is Marine Le Pen at 42%, followed by Édouard Philippe at 22%, Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 12%. 348.1K contracts have traded, 3.3K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is May 30, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/next-french-presidential-election-winner/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Next French presidential election winner? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/next-french-presidential-election-winner/">Next French presidential election winner? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
/api/v1/markets/next-french-presidential-election-winner.json (CC BY 4.0: credit “Kalshi View” with a link).