| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? | Scott Jennings 16% | 35.0K | January 21, 2029 |
| How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? | At least 182 90% | 20.7K | January 3, 2027 |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) | Democrats, 8 to 10% 28% | 17.2K | November 3, 2027 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes 86% | 13.8K | February 1, 2027 |
| How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? | At least 210 97% | 13.5K | January 3, 2027 |
| Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? | Pete Hegseth 26% | 12.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes 50% | 10.4K | February 1, 2027 |
| How many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms? | At least 14 93% | 9.2K | January 3, 2027 |
| Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline? | Before Jan 1, 2027 56% | 9.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many Senate seats will Democrats win in the Midterms? | At least 10 96% | 7.0K | January 3, 2027 |
| What will be the 51st state in Trump's term? | Cuba 3.5% | 5.5K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. in 2026? | Yes 18% | 5.1K | January 8, 2027 |
| When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? | Before Jan 1, 2027 92% | 4.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| Kash Patel out as FBI Director? | Before Dec 1, 2026 16% | 4.1K | December 1, 2026 |
| How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms? | At least 1 9.5% | 4.1K | January 3, 2027 |
| How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027? | Below 37% 76% | 3.9K | January 7, 2027 |
| Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next? | Pete Hegseth 16% | 2.6K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? | Before January 21, 2029 20% | 2.2K | January 21, 2029 |
| Will the US ban crude oil exports? | Yes 16% | 1.8K | January 1, 2027 |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? | $0 / No Acquisition 90% | 1.7K | January 22, 2029 |
| Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary? | New Hampshire 85% | 1.4K | April 1, 2028 |
| Will President Trump be impeached during his term? | Yes 67% | 1.4K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? | Before January 20, 2029 11% | 1.3K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027? | Yes 64% | 1.3K | February 1, 2027 |
| Will NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild? | Yes 68% | 1.2K | January 1, 2028 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak? | Before Jan 20, 2029 40% | 1.1K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump resign during his term? | Yes 24% | 1.0K | January 21, 2029 |
| Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? | Yes 4.9% | 870 | January 2, 2027 |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? | Yes 18% | 842 | January 20, 2029 |
| When will Trump rename something else? | Before Jan 1, 2027 70% | 831 | January 1, 2027 |
| 2026: Trump's dream year? | Yes 1.8% | 820 | December 31, 2027 |
| 2026: Trump's bad year? | Yes 6.6% | 744 | December 31, 2027 |
| Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? | Yes 52% | 702 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement? | Before Jan 1, 2027 36% | 687 | January 1, 2027 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor? | Before Jan 1, 2029 93% | 635 | January 1, 2029 |
| How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms? | At least 1 32% | 608 | January 3, 2027 |
| When will Trump lower tariffs on Canada? | Before Jan 1, 2027 50% | 592 | January 1, 2027 |
| When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D? | Before Jan 20, 2029 51% | 538 | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump issue dividend payments in 2026? | Yes 6.0% | 533 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? | Yes 5.8% | 521 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China? | Yes 19% | 486 | January 20, 2029 |
| How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026? | Above 30 24% | 468 | January 5, 2027 |
| Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes in 2026? | Yes 5.7% | 467 | January 1, 2027 |
| US test scores in Reading in 2026? | Significant decrease 60% | 425 | December 31, 2027 |
| Will Trump take back the Panama Canal? | Yes 18% | 373 | January 20, 2029 |
| Will the US acquire any new territory? | Before Jan 21, 2029 16% | 373 | January 21, 2029 |
| Will Netanyahu be arrested? | Before Jan 1, 2027 8.0% | 319 | January 1, 2027 |
| Which G7 leader will leave office next? | Emmanuel Macron 66% | 312 | January 1, 2045 |
| Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026? | U.S.–Mexico interim agreement 36% | 293 | January 1, 2027 |
| Will a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term? | Yes 8.4% | 263 | January 20, 2029 |