Kalshi odds today › Politics
Kalshi Politics odds today
Snapshot October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · 688 open events · refreshed twice a day
| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner | Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 15% | 443.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? | 38.2% 25% | 131.6K | October 6, 2026 |
| Will the SAVE Act become law? | Yes 2.6% | 48.8K | January 4, 2027 |
| When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? | Before Jan 1, 2029 70% | 48.1K | January 1, 2029 |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) | Above 10 98% | 44.8K | October 6, 2026 |
| 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) | Democrats, 8 to 10% 29% | 38.1K | November 3, 2027 |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11) | October 8 15% | 36.0K | October 13, 2026 |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes 86% | 26.7K | February 1, 2027 |
| Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? | Anna Kelly 22% | 25.3K | January 21, 2029 |
| Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) | Above 4 92% | 23.9K | October 13, 2026 |
| How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) | 7 62% | 23.4K | October 12, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/5 - 10/11) | Above 175 88% | 22.0K | October 13, 2026 |
| Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks? | Yes 4.4% | 20.4K | January 1, 2027 |
| Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/28 - 10/4) | Above 4 94% | 20.1K | October 6, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11) | Above 10 96% | 18.9K | October 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal? | Before Jan 20, 2029 38% | 17.9K | January 20, 2029 |
| Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10) | 160-179 22% | 16.1K | October 11, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11) | Above 150 90% | 16.0K | October 13, 2026 |
| Trump's approval rating on Oct 9, 2026? | 38.2 to 38.4 28% | 16.0K | October 9, 2026 |
| How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/4-10/10) | At least 1 98% | 13.4K | October 11, 2026 |
| Which leaders will leave office in 2026? | Christopher Luxon 48% | 12.7K | January 2, 2027 |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? | Yes 1.6% | 11.9K | November 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached? | Before Jan 1, 2028 64% | 9.6K | January 1, 2028 |
| Will Donald Trump attend UFC 333? | Yes 2.5% | 8.7K | October 25, 2026 |
| Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4) | Above 150 96% | 7.5K | October 6, 2026 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes 52% | 7.3K | February 1, 2027 |
| Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? | Yes 2.2% | 7.0K | March 1, 2027 |
| Will the Clarity Act become law? | Before Jan 1, 2028 16% | 6.2K | January 1, 2028 |
| Will President Trump be impeached during his term? | Yes 64% | 6.1K | January 20, 2029 |
| Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? | Pete Hegseth 24% | 5.3K | January 1, 2027 |
| Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/28 - 10/4) | Above 175 88% | 5.1K | October 6, 2026 |
| Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself? | Yes 2.5% | 5.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Trump's approval rating increase this week? (10/2-10/9) | Yes 28% | 4.1K | October 9, 2026 |
| Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4) | September 30 38% | 4.1K | October 6, 2026 |
| Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota? | Yes 5.4% | 3.7K | January 2, 2027 |
| Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (10/4 - 10/10) | Yes 13% | 3.7K | October 11, 2026 |
| Who will be arrested in 2026? | John Brennan 26% | 3.4K | January 1, 2027 |
| Generic congressional ballot on Oct 6, 2026? | 8.8% 30% | 3.2K | October 6, 2026 |
| What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026? | Roybal v. Griffith 40% | 3.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| How much will the US acquire Greenland for? | $0 / No Acquisition 90% | 3.0K | January 22, 2029 |
| Will Trump impose martial law before his term ends? | Yes 34% | 2.9K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump be impeached and removed from office? | Yes 18% | 2.9K | January 20, 2029 |
| Which states will Trump visit in 2026? | Nebraska 100% | 2.7K | January 1, 2027 |
| How many nominations will Trump send to the Senate this week? (10/4-10/10) | At least 1 4.5% | 2.6K | October 11, 2026 |
| How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10) | Above 0 90% | 2.5K | October 24, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026? | Yes 5.2% | 2.5K | January 1, 2027 |
| US test scores in Reading in 2026? | Significant decrease 55% | 2.4K | December 31, 2027 |
| Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) | Before January 20, 2029 25% | 2.4K | January 20, 2029 |
| Will Trump issue dividend payments | Before Apr 1, 2027 16% | 2.3K | April 1, 2027 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement? | Before Jul 1, 2027 56% | 2.3K | July 1, 2027 |
For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
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Cite this data
APA
Kalshi Politics odds today. (2026, October 5). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/category/politics/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketscategorypolitics, title = {Kalshi Politics odds today}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-05 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/category/politics/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/category/politics/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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Frequently asked questions
What are the most traded Kalshi Politics markets right now?
As of October 5, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, Kalshi lists 688 open Politics events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner (Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 15%), Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 6, 2026? (38.2% 25%), Will the SAVE Act become law? (Yes 2.6%).
How often is this list updated?
Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.