Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE-26JAN
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 29%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2027 at 22%, Before Jul 1, 2027 at 18%. 8.2M contracts have traded, 76.0K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 29% | +2 pts | 121.9K | 52.8K |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 22% | +6 pts | 150.2K | 39.4K |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 18% | +1 pts | 95.1K | 33.3K |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 9.5% | +1 pts | 101.8K | 52.3K |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8.3% | +1 pts | 2.4M | 586.2K |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 5.5% | · | 485.8K | 168.3K |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.5% | · | 693.4K | 429.6K |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | · | 1.4M | 774.0K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before Jan 1, 2028 ■ Before Oct 1, 2027 ■ Before Jul 1, 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If a crypto market structure bill has become law before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, "crypto market structure legislation" means any bill that does all of the following: Establishes a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies (but not solely for stablecoins); AND Delineates regulatory authority between federal agencies (such as the SEC, CFTC, or others) for oversight of digital assets; AND Creates definitions, classifications, or categories for when digital assets are considered securities, commodities, or other regulatory classifications. The following would NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Bills that solely regulate stablecoins without addressing broader crypto market structure; Bills that only ban or restrict specific crypto activities without creating a regulatory framework; Bills …”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 29%, followed by Before Oct 1, 2027 at 22%, Before Jul 1, 2027 at 18%. 8.2M contracts have traded, 76.0K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from October 1, 2026 to January 1, 2028. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-clarity-act-become-law/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will the Clarity Act become law? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-clarity-act-become-law/">Will the Clarity Act become law? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Will the Clarity Act become law? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-clarity-act-become-law/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswilltheclarityactbecomelaw, title = {Will the Clarity Act become law? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-clarity-act-become-law/}}HTML credit
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