| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? | Before 2028 66% | 2.9K | January 1, 2028 |
| Rivian total vehicles delivered in Q3 | Above 11500 96% | 2.7K | January 29, 2027 |
| Boeing commercial deliveries in Q3 | Above 158 72% | 1.8K | February 19, 2027 |
| Wyndham Hotels total rooms in fiscal 2026 | Above 880 thousand 94% | 1.6K | May 12, 2027 |
| Carnival Cruise available lower berth days in Q3 | Above 24.8 million 94% | 1.4K | January 26, 2027 |
| Lemonade total customers in Q3 | Above 3.44 million 94% | 1.4K | March 10, 2027 |
| Chewy active customers in Q3 | Above 21.7 million 98% | 1.3K | April 8, 2027 |
| When will the S&P 500 Index be above $8,000? | Before Mar 1, 2027 83% | 1.3K | March 1, 2027 |
| CAVA total restaurants in Q3 | Above 478 98% | 1.3K | March 10, 2027 |
| Tesla total production in Q3 | Above 430000 97% | 1.1K | January 30, 2027 |
| Domino's total US stores in Q3 | Above 7240 96% | 835 | February 9, 2027 |
| Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 | Above 200000 94% | 695 | February 25, 2027 |
| Southwest Airlines average passenger fare in Q3 | Above $185 98% | 676 | February 19, 2027 |
| Tesla total deliveries in Q3 | Above 455000 92% | 658 | January 30, 2027 |
| American Airlines passenger load factor in Q3 | Above 83.5% 94% | 549 | February 19, 2027 |
| The Cheesecake Factory comparable restaurant sales in Q3 | Above 3.5% 96% | 520 | February 24, 2027 |
| NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in February 2027 | Above $3.50 80% | 400 | March 1, 2027 |
| McDonald's comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 | Above 1.5% 77% | 296 | April 27, 2027 |
| Shopify gross merchandise volume in fiscal 2026 | Above $460 billion 98% | 244 | May 11, 2027 |
| NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in April 2027 | Above $0.25 90% | 200 | May 1, 2027 |
| NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in March 2027 | Above $3.00 94% | 200 | April 1, 2027 |
| Life360 monthly active users in Q3 | Above 104.5 million 98% | 193 | March 10, 2027 |
| Klarna active klarna consumers in Q3 | Above 121 million 82% | 170 | March 10, 2027 |
| MercadoLibre items sold in 2026 | Above 3 billion 98% | 155 | March 31, 2028 |
| McDonald's Corporation global comparable sales growth in Q3 2026 | Above 1.5% 98% | 155 | March 4, 2027 |
| Domino's US same store sales growth in Q3 | Above 0.5% 90% | 154 | February 9, 2027 |
| Canadian Tire comparable sales growth in Q3 | Above -1% 92% | 146 | March 12, 2027 |
| Will Paramount announce an HQ move outside greater LA? | Before Dec 1, 2027 15% | 141 | December 1, 2027 |
| Coinbase monthly transacting users in fiscal 2026 | Above 6.5 million 94% | 138 | May 12, 2027 |
| American Express cards-in-force in Q3 | Above 154.5 million 96% | 112 | February 13, 2027 |
| Amazon headcount in Q3 | Above 1.54 million 98% | 90 | February 25, 2027 |
| Nvidia headcount in fiscal 2027 | Above 46000 92% | 81 | March 31, 2028 |
| United Airlines passengers in Q3 | Above 47.75 million 98% | 81 | February 12, 2027 |
| Who will acquire Letterboxd? | Netflix 60% | 64 | January 1, 2028 |
| Target comparable sales growth in Q3 | Above 0% 98% | 63 | March 19, 2027 |
| What sector will OpenAI be assigned to? | Information Technology 87% | 61 | January 11, 2028 |
| S&P 2027 year end price | 7,200 or above 93% | 57 | December 31, 2027 |
| Best Buy domestic comparable store sales in fiscal 2027 | Above -1% 96% | 55 | May 31, 2027 |
| Victoria's Secret comparable sales growth in Q3 | Above 2% 98% | 50 | April 3, 2027 |
| Datadog customers over $100k ARR in Q3 | Above 4860 92% | 50 | March 6, 2027 |
| Target comparable sales growth in fiscal 2026 | Above 0.5% 97% | 48 | June 2, 2027 |
| CAVA same restaurant sales growth in Q3 | Above 6% 26% | 46 | March 20, 2027 |
| When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000? | Before Dec 31, 2028 74% | 46 | December 31, 2029 |
| Will GTA VI preorders be reported? | Yes 21% | 46 | February 1, 2027 |
| Kroger sales growth (excl. fuel) in fiscal 2026 | Above 0% 86% | 38 | June 2, 2027 |
| Dollarama comparable store sales growth in fiscal 2027 | Above 2% 96% | 29 | June 30, 2027 |
| Roblox hours engaged in Q3 | Above 32 billion 86% | 25 | February 27, 2027 |
| Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3 | Above 480 thousand 98% | 25 | January 29, 2027 |
| Aritzia comparable sales growth in Q2 | Above 15% 98% | 23 | March 7, 2027 |
| SoFi members in Q3 | Above 16.7 million 84% | 23 | February 27, 2027 |