Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC · Category: Politics · Event KXGREENTERRITORY-29
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 21, 2029 at 20%, followed by Before 2027 at 4.4%. 3.4M contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 21, 2029 | 20% | +7 pts | 2.9M | 358.1K |
| Before 2027 | 4.4% | · | 543.7K | 143.2K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Before January 21, 2029 ■ Before 2027 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.”
Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees and the payout calculator.
As of September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, the leading outcome is Before January 21, 2029 at 20%, followed by Before 2027 at 4.4%. 3.4M contracts have traded, 1.9K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close dates range from January 1, 2027 to January 21, 2029. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<iframe src="https://kalshiview.com/embed/markets/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/" width="100%" height="300" style="border:0;max-width:560px" loading="lazy" title="Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? Kalshi odds"></iframe> <p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/">Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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APA
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 24). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 24, 2026 at 11:56 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketswilltheustakecontrolofanypartofgreenland, title = {Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-24 11:56 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/}}HTML credit
<a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland/">Odds data: Kalshi View</a>
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