| Event | Leading outcome | 24h volume | Closes |
|---|
| Texas crude oil production in 2026 | Above 5.6 million barrels/day 98% | 38.1K | March 31, 2027 |
| Fed decision in Jan 2027? | Fed maintains rate 55% | 7.0K | January 27, 2027 |
| Recession in 2027? | Yes 23% | 6.7K | January 31, 2028 |
| Recession this year? | Yes 4.5% | 5.7K | January 31, 2027 |
| Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026 | Above 3,500 units 74% | 5.6K | May 3, 2027 |
| Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026? | Exactly 6 cuts 42% | 4.1K | January 1, 2027 |
| Number of Fed rate changes before 2027 | Exactly 2 56% | 3.8K | January 1, 2027 |
| New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026 | Above 1.7 million 96% | 3.7K | March 31, 2027 |
| How high will US diesel prices get in 2026? | Above $6.60 88% | 3.5K | December 31, 2026 |
| Next Fed rate hike? | Before 2029 98% | 3.5K | January 1, 2029 |
| Fed funds rate at end of 2027 | Above 1.00% 98% | 3.4K | January 1, 2028 |
| Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026? | Yes 82% | 3.2K | March 12, 2027 |
| Average Iowa farmland value in the 2026 ISU survey | Above $11,250/acre 86% | 2.9K | January 1, 2027 |
| Will Oregon semiconductor manufacturing jobs rise YoY? | Yes 16% | 2.5K | March 31, 2027 |
| Fed decision in Mar 2027? | Hike 25bps 53% | 2.5K | March 17, 2027 |
| Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY) | Above 3.0% 96% | 2.4K | January 13, 2027 |
| Kentucky aging Bourbon-barrel inventory as of January 1, 2026 | Above 15.5 million barrels 96% | 2.3K | January 1, 2027 |
| Rhode Island commercial quahog landings in 2026 | Above 190,000 meat pounds 94% | 2.1K | June 30, 2027 |
| Will Alaska crude oil production increase YoY in 2026? | Yes 78% | 2.0K | March 1, 2027 |
| Will New Hampshire alpine skier visits rise YoY? | Yes 15% | 1.5K | June 30, 2027 |
| When will Oura officially announce an IPO? | Before Apr 1, 2027 98% | 1.2K | January 1, 2028 |
| Diesel price at year-end 2026 | Above $4.40 97% | 1.1K | December 31, 2026 |
| Bozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026 | Above 950 units 96% | 1.0K | May 31, 2027 |
| Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 | Above 1,600 units 84% | 1.0K | May 3, 2027 |
| Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts in 2026? | Exactly 0ㅤ 93% | 1.0K | January 1, 2027 |
| Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026 | Above 9.4 million 98% | 941 | January 31, 2027 |
| More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025? | Yes 95% | 772 | March 1, 2027 |
| Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) | Above 2.1% 98% | 765 | January 13, 2027 |
| NYC median asking rent in December 2026 | Above $3,800 96% | 750 | January 31, 2027 |
| Wisconsin total milk production in 2026 | Above 32.75 billion pounds 98% | 685 | February 28, 2027 |
| U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY above 3% in any 2026 quarter? | Yes 54% | 652 | March 4, 2027 |
| US nominal GDP growth in 2026 | Above 0.0% 98% | 500 | January 28, 2027 |
| How many government employees will Trump cut? | More than 100,000 26% | 455 | March 4, 2027 |
| US real GDP growth in 2026? | 2.1% to 2.5% 37% | 401 | February 28, 2027 |
| Port of Savannah container volume in 2026 | Above 5.4 million TEUs 94% | 373 | January 29, 2027 |
| Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026 | Exactly 2.50% 52% | 367 | January 1, 2027 |
| How high will inflation get this year? | At least 4.5% 24% | 332 | February 14, 2027 |
| Alaska commercial salmon harvest in 2026? | At least 75 million 96% | 330 | January 14, 2027 |
| South Dakota corn yield in 2026 | Above 125 bu/acre 96% | 300 | January 31, 2027 |
| Will Arizona semiconductor employment increase YoY in 2026? | Yes 8.5% | 261 | June 4, 2027 |
| Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026? | United Kingdom 96% | 258 | February 18, 2027 |
| How many companies will go bankrupt this year? | Above 550 98% | 249 | January 10, 2027 |
| Government spending increase in 2026 | At least $1 billion 97% | 230 | April 1, 2027 |
| Canada home price above C$700K in December? | Yes 18% | 226 | January 15, 2027 |
| Will US wage growth exceed 3.7% by July 2027? | Yes 31% | 200 | August 6, 2027 |
| How high will unemployment get in 2026? | Above 4.5% 19% | 194 | January 8, 2027 |
| Fed decision in Dec 2027? | Fed maintains rate 57% | 190 | December 8, 2027 |
| Rhode Island average residential electricity price in 2026 | Above 28.0¢/kWh 94% | 190 | February 28, 2027 |
| State of the economy at the end of 2026 | Overheating 69% | 180 | January 13, 2027 |
| Wisconsin corn yield in 2026 | Above 164 bu/acre 98% | 169 | January 31, 2027 |