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Kalshi AI odds today

Snapshot September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC · 4 open events · refreshed twice a day

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, Kalshi lists 4 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution? (Before Jan 1, 2027 44%), Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution? (Before Jan 1, 2028 80%), Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement? (Before Jan 1, 2029 71%).

EventLeading outcome24h volumeCloses
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2027 44%901January 1, 2027
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?Before Jan 1, 2028 80%754January 1, 2028
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement?Before Jan 1, 2029 71%0December 31, 2028
Will Sébastien Bubeck leave OpenAI?Yes 18%0January 1, 2027

For multi-outcome events the leading outcome is the one with the highest price; for single-market events it is the Yes price. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

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Frequently asked questions

What are the most traded Kalshi AI markets right now?

As of September 24, 2026 at 04:37 UTC, Kalshi lists 4 open AI events (single games and markets closing within hours left out). Most traded in the last 24 hours: Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution? (Before Jan 1, 2027 44%), Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution? (Before Jan 1, 2028 80%), Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement? (Before Jan 1, 2029 71%).

How often is this list updated?

Twice a day from Kalshi's public API. Each row links to a dated odds page or to Kalshi.