Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds
Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCPICOREYOY-26DEC
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2.2% at 98%, followed by Above 2.5% at 98%, Above 2.1% at 98%. 62.6K contracts have traded, 4.0K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 2.2% ■ Above 2.5% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending December 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY)?
As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 2.2% at 98%, followed by Above 2.5% at 98%, Above 2.1% at 98%. 62.6K contracts have traded, 4.0K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) market close?
The listed close date is January 13, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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<p><a href="https://kalshiview.com/markets/core-inflation-in-december-2026-core-cpi-yoy/">Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY) odds</a> via <a href="https://kalshiview.com/">Kalshi View</a></p>
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Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/core-inflation-in-december-2026-core-cpi-yoy/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketscoreinflationindecember2026corecpiyoy, title = {Core inflation in December 2026 (Core CPI YoY): Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/core-inflation-in-december-2026-core-cpi-yoy/}}
