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CPI core in October: Kalshi Odds

Snapshot September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXCPICORE-26OCT

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 0.0% at 93%, followed by Above 0.1% at 78%, Above 0.2% at 59%. 119.2K contracts have traded, 3.9K in the last 24 hours.

Current odds

OutcomeChance24h changeVolumeOpen interest
Above 0.0%93%
+1 pts1.5K825
Above 0.1%78%
-17 pts2.1K1.1K
Above 0.2%59%
-11 pts30.4K26.9K
Above 0.3%16%
-33 pts5.6K1.4K
Above 0.4%14%
-29 pts9.6K4.1K
Above 0.5%1.5%
-1 pts3.3K2.0K
Above 0.7%1.0%
·41.6K4.3K
Above 1.0%1.0%
·11.2K1.2K
Above 0.8%1.0%
·5.3K4.3K
Above 0.6%1.0%
·4.7K4.0K
Above 0.9%1.0%
·4.0K4.0K

Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.

Last 30 days

0%25%50%75%100%Sep 15Sep 29

■ Above 0.0% ■ Above 0.1% ■ Above 0.2% · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data

How this market settles

Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:

“If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for October 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.”

Read the full rules and trade on Kalshi: open this market on Kalshi. How settlement works in general: Kalshi settlement guide. Costs: Kalshi fees, the fee calculator, the payout calculator and the APY calculator.

Related Economics markets

More on this topic: CPI inflation odds on Kalshi

Frequently asked questions

What are the Kalshi odds for CPI core in October?

As of September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 0.0% at 93%, followed by Above 0.1% at 78%, Above 0.2% at 59%. 119.2K contracts have traded, 3.9K in the last 24 hours.

How are these Kalshi odds calculated?

Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.

When does the CPI core in October market close?

The listed close date is November 10, 2026. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.

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APA

CPI core in October: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 29). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 29, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-core-in-october/

BibTeX

@misc{kalshiview2026marketscpicoreinoctober, title = {CPI core in October: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-29 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/cpi-core-in-october/}}

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