Snapshot September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXWYCOAL-27APR01
As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 180 MMst at 94%, followed by Above 190 MMst at 92%, Above 200 MMst at 84%. 99.6K contracts have traded, 21.8K in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | Chance | 24h change | Volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 180 MMst | 94% | · | 22.3K | 1.6K |
| Above 190 MMst | 92% | +2 pts | 8.9K | 1.4K |
| Above 200 MMst | 84% | · | 1.6K | 200 |
| Above 210 MMst | 34% | -15 pts | 9.4K | 2.9K |
| Above 220 MMst | 9.5% | -8 pts | 19.0K | 3.3K |
| Above 230 MMst | 8.5% | -3 pts | 25.4K | 2.7K |
| Above 240 MMst | 5.5% | · | 3.0K | 2.1K |
| Above 250 MMst | 4.5% | -1 pts | 10.0K | 1.5K |
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
■ Above 180 MMst ■ Above 190 MMst · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 180 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production by State, of the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2026 data. Production is measured in million short tons. If EIA reports production in thousand short tons, the figure will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.”
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As of September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 180 MMst at 94%, followed by Above 190 MMst at 92%, Above 200 MMst at 84%. 99.6K contracts have traded, 21.8K in the last 24 hours.
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
The listed close date is April 1, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Wyoming total coal production in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, September 26). Kalshi View. Retrieved September 26, 2026 at 01:50 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/wyoming-total-coal-production-in-2026/
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@misc{kalshiview2026marketswyomingtotalcoalproductionin2026, title = {Wyoming total coal production in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Sep}, note = {Snapshot 2026-09-26 01:50 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/wyoming-total-coal-production-in-2026/}}HTML credit
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