Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Kalshi Odds
Snapshot October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXVTPERMITS-27MAY03
As of October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 1,600 units at 78%, followed by Above 1,700 units at 72%, Above 1,800 units at 58%. 149.1K contracts have traded, 27.3K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above 1,600 units ■ Above 1,700 units ■ Above 1,800 units · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,600 units, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont, across all structure types. Resolution will use the first finalized annual 2026 figure published by the U.S. Census Bureau. Preliminary monthly and year-to-date estimates will not determine the market.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026?
As of October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, the leading outcome is Above 1,600 units at 78%, followed by Above 1,700 units at 72%, Above 1,800 units at 58%. 149.1K contracts have traded, 27.3K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is May 3, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 12). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 12, 2026 at 23:20 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/housing-units-authorized-in-vermont-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketshousingunitsauthorizedinvermontin2026, title = {Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-12 23:20 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/housing-units-authorized-in-vermont-in-2026/}}
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