Snapshot October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC · Category: Economics · Event KXWALLSTBONUS-27MAR31
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $200,000 at 98%, followed by Above $225,000 at 92%, Above $250,000 at 80%. 127.9K contracts have traded, 22.8K in the last 24 hours.
Chance = midpoint of the best Yes bid and ask on Kalshi (last trade when the spread is wider than 10¢). Volume and open interest are in contracts. Current availability, prices, close time, fees, and settlement wording must be verified on Kalshi directly before trading.
Last 30 days
■ Above $250,000 · daily closing prices from Kalshi's public candlestick data
How this market settles
Excerpt of the contract rules from Kalshi's public market data:
“If the New York State Comptroller reports the average Wall Street bonus for 2026 is above $200,000, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the New York State Comptroller’s annual estimate of the average bonus for securities-industry (NAICS 523) employees working in New York City for 2026. The OSC estimate includes cash bonuses and deferred compensation for which taxes have been withheld, and excludes stock options and other deferred compensation for which taxes have not yet been withheld. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.”
What are the Kalshi odds for Average Wall Street bonus in 2026?
As of October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, the leading outcome is Above $200,000 at 98%, followed by Above $225,000 at 92%, Above $250,000 at 80%. 127.9K contracts have traded, 22.8K in the last 24 hours.
How are these Kalshi odds calculated?
Each outcome's probability is the midpoint between the best bid and ask for its Yes contract (or the last trade when the spread is wider than 10 cents). A 60-cent contract reads as roughly a 60% chance. The page is a dated snapshot refreshed twice a day, not a live quote.
When does the Average Wall Street bonus in 2026 market close?
The listed close date is March 31, 2027. Settlement follows the contract rules summarised on this page; check them on Kalshi.
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Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Kalshi Odds. (2026, October 15). Kalshi View. Retrieved October 15, 2026 at 16:28 UTC, from https://kalshiview.com/markets/average-wall-street-bonus-in-2026/
BibTeX
@misc{kalshiview2026marketsaveragewallstreetbonusin2026, title = {Average Wall Street bonus in 2026: Kalshi Odds}, year = {2026}, month = {Oct}, note = {Snapshot 2026-10-15 16:28 UTC}, url = {https://kalshiview.com/markets/average-wall-street-bonus-in-2026/}}
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